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AL Circle Private Limited | CIN: U72200WB2017PTC221175

Registered Office: Ecospace Business Park, Block 3A, Unit 401A, New Town, Rajarhat, Kolkata, WB 700160

Corporate Office: Ecospace Business Park, Block 3A, Unit 401A, New Town, Rajarhat, Kolkata, WB 700160

© 2026 AL Circle. All rights reserved. AL Circle is not responsible for content from external sources.

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AL Circle: Aluminium Ecosystem App
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AL Circle Private Limited | CIN: U72200WB2017PTC221175

Registered Office: Ecospace Business Park, Block 3A, Unit 401A, New Town, Rajarhat, Kolkata, WB 700160

Corporate Office: Ecospace Business Park, Block 3A, Unit 401A, New Town, Rajarhat, Kolkata, WB 700160

© 2026 AL Circle. All rights reserved. AL Circle is not responsible for content from external sources.

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NewsMiddle East ConflictPage 4
WEEKLY: Aluminium rallies as soft US jobs data, tight ingot supply set up bullish tug-of-war
07 SEPT 20263MINS
Primary AL

WEEKLY: Aluminium rallies as soft US jobs data, tight ingot supply set up bullish tug-of-war

Overnight overseas macro sentiment turned constructive, driving synchronised gains across domestic and overseas aluminium prices. The softer US August ADP private payrolls data further dampened market expectations of Fed rate hikes, easing the dollar's drag on commodities. Coupled with heightened...

Aluminium extrusion usage in building and construction to grow 1.24% CAGR through 2035, with Americas at 1.15%, Europe at 1.30% & MEA at 2.47%
02 SEPT 20268MINS
Downstream

Aluminium extrusion usage in building and construction to grow 1.24% CAGR through 2035, with Americas at 1.15%, Europe at 1.30% & MEA at 2.47%

What does the building and construction market mean for aluminium extrusion industry? The answer may depend less on how much the world builds and more on where it builds and what those buildings require. As construction activity picks up across regions, aluminium extrusion is set to follow - but...

01 SEPT 20263MINS
Primary AL

Global aluminium output falls to 6.2Mt as prices rise 0.35%, SHFE stocks dip 3% & Gulf output drops 44%

Aluminium prices settled 0.35 per cent higher at INR 345.6 (USD 3.64), backed by declining exchange inventories, expectations of additional fiscal measures in China and concerns over constrained supply from the Middle East. However, improving production prospects in the region limited further...


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US Fed keeps interest rates 1.75% higher than its target: What it means for the aluminium industry
24 JUL 20267MINS

US Fed keeps interest rates 1.75% higher than its target: What it means for the aluminium industry

The US Federal Reserve has kept the interest rates unchanged, keeping the benchmark federal funds rate at 3.50-3.75 per cent for the fourth consecutive meeting. The decision, approved unanimously in a 12-0 vote by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), was widely expected by financial markets...

SHFE aluminium rebounds on position reduction to close higher, alumina sees slight correction and maintains fluctuating trend
24 JUL 20263MINS

SHFE aluminium rebounds on position reduction to close higher, alumina sees slight correction and maintains fluctuating trend

The most-traded SHFE aluminium 2609 contract closed at RMB 23,345 per tonne today, up RMB 85 per tonne or 0.37 per cent on the day. Trading volume increased notably from the previous session, reaching 208,200 lots intraday. Volume expanded during the bottom-out rebound, indicating buying support at...

2026 Middle East aluminium outlook: 5% of global supply, USD 7 million insurance and the Hormuz effect
24 JUL 202611MINS

2026 Middle East aluminium outlook: 5% of global supply, USD 7 million insurance and the Hormuz effect

On March 28, the US-Iran tension took a new turn as Iranian missiles struck the Khalifa Economic Zone in Abu Dhabi, damaging the alumina refinery that feeds Emirates Global Aluminium’s Al Taweelah smelter, the largest aluminium production complex in the Gulf. Four hundred kilometres south-west,...

New Section 301 tariffs strike, limited upside room for aluminium prices in the short term
24 JUL 20266MINS

New Section 301 tariffs strike, limited upside room for aluminium prices in the short term

Futures: SHFE aluminium closed at RMB 23,280 per tonne, slightly down 0.02 per cent, with prices above MA5 (23,197) and MA10 (23,192.5), and the closing price of 23,280 exactly matching MA30 (23,276.67). Short-term moving average support is effective, while the mid-term moving average pressure...

Global aluminium deficit may widen beyond 900Kt amid Hormuz shipping disruptions
23 JUL 20262MINS

Global aluminium deficit may widen beyond 900Kt amid Hormuz shipping disruptions

Norsk Hydro has warned that the global aluminium market could face a deeper supply deficit if disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz continue, with prolonged constraints expected to tighten the availability of both raw materials and finished metal. Hydro President and CEO Eivind...

Geopolitical risks support SHFE aluminium rise, alumina rebound drivers weak
23 JUL 20263MINS

Geopolitical risks support SHFE aluminium rise, alumina rebound drivers weak

The most-traded SHFE aluminium 2609 contract closed at RMB 23,345 per tonne today, gaining RMB 85 per tonne, or 0.37 per cent. It opened flat and consolidated, dipped to a low of 23,230 before stabilising, then drifted higher, and closed near the session high, forming a full bullish candlestick...

Bahrain's aluminium exports tumble 14% in Jan-May 2026
22 JUL 20263MINS

Bahrain's aluminium exports tumble 14% in Jan-May 2026

Within the January-May 2026 timeline, a considerable year-on-year dip can be noted in Bahrain’s export of all the aluminium product categories , viz., unwrought, bars, rods and profiles, foil, pipes and tubes, plates, sheets and strip, tube or pipe fittings, and wire. January-May export comparison:...

Risk of full-scale war between the US and Iran climbs, short-term upward drivers for aluminium prices strengthen
22 JUL 20267MINS

Risk of full-scale war between the US and Iran climbs, short-term upward drivers for aluminium prices strengthen

Futures: The SHFE aluminium daytime session closed at RMB 23,185 per tonne, up 0.56 per cent, with the price slightly above the MA5 (23,151.7) and MA10 (23,148.5) but still below the MA30 (23,329.33) and MA60 (23,960). Short-term moving averages provided support, while medium-term moving averages...

Geopolitical tensions keep aluminium prices volatile, while long-term demand outlook remains firm
21 JUL 20264MINS

Geopolitical tensions keep aluminium prices volatile, while long-term demand outlook remains firm

For much of 2026, aluminium prices have been driven more by geopolitics than by underlying demand. As tensions between the US and Iran intensified, fears of disrupted shipments through the Strait of Hormuz pushed LME aluminium higher, with prices rising to around a four-year high and reaching an...

Middle East situation volatile and uncertain, aluminium prices consolidate and adjust
21 JUL 20267MINS

Middle East situation volatile and uncertain, aluminium prices consolidate and adjust

Futures: SHFE aluminium closed at RMB 23,030 per tonne, down 0.78 per cent. The price was below all key moving averages (MA5=23,035, MA10=23,135, MA30=23,359.83, MA60=23,399.08). The moving-average system was in a bearish alignment, and the weak pattern continued. MACD indicators showed DIF=-196.09...

Macro and fundamentals intertwined with bullish and bearish forces, short-term aluminium prices expected to mainly consolidate and adjust
19 JUL 20263MINS

Macro and fundamentals intertwined with bullish and bearish forces, short-term aluminium prices expected to mainly consolidate and adjust

US June CPI fell 0.4 per cent M-o-M, the first month-on-month contraction since 2020, prompting the market to lower its expectations for US Fed interest rate hikes. However, Fed Chairman Warsh bluntly expressed "zero tolerance" for the persistent five-year high inflation, displaying a tough hawkish...

AL Circle Analysis: How geopolitics, trade and strategy reshaped the upstream aluminium market
18 JUL 20265MINS

AL Circle Analysis: How geopolitics, trade and strategy reshaped the upstream aluminium market

When aluminium prices moved this year, demand was not always the driving force. Sometimes the catalyst was a Guinean bauxite export terminal. At other times, it was a power contract in South Africa, tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. Taken together, these developments reflected a broader shift in...

LME aluminium warehouse inventories decline nearly 45%: How sanctions, geopolitics and trade reshaped Russian and Indian stocks
17 JUL 20268MINS

LME aluminium warehouse inventories decline nearly 45%: How sanctions, geopolitics and trade reshaped Russian and Indian stocks

London Metal Exchange (LME) aluminium warehouse inventories have almost halved in 2026. Warehouse stocks fell from 440,650 tonnes in January to 246,600 tonnes by June, a decline of nearly 45 per cent. At first glance, that simply looks like metal leaving exchange warehouses. But look closer and the...

Geopolitical conflicts combined with rate hike slowdown, aluminium prices stay strong and rise, yet upside resistance remains
16 JUL 20268MINS

Geopolitical conflicts combined with rate hike slowdown, aluminium prices stay strong and rise, yet upside resistance remains

Futures: The most-traded SHFE aluminium 2608 contract closed at RMB 23,090 per tonne, down RMB 135 or 0.58 per cent from yesterday's settlement price. It opened the day at RMB 23,120 per tonne and fluctuated within a range of RMB 23,090–23,190 per tonne. Prices were above the 5-day MA (23,116.00)...

India says higher Russian oil imports are part of long-term energy security strategy
14 JUL 20263MINS

India says higher Russian oil imports are part of long-term energy security strategy

India's Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas has defended the country's rising imports of Russian crude oil, stating that the increase is part of a long-term strategy to diversify supply sources and safeguard energy security amid disruptions in West Asia. Responding to an editorial published by...

A measure intended to increase the availability of recycled aluminium in Europe could ultimately reduce it, says Julia Ettinger
14 JUL 202611MINS

A measure intended to increase the availability of recycled aluminium in Europe could ultimately reduce it, says Julia Ettinger

Europe’s aluminium scrap market is at the centre of a growing debate over whether rising exports are tightening domestic supply or are a result of weak demand from European smelters. In this interview, Julia Ettinger, Secretary General of Recycling Europe, explains the market factors driving scrap...

US fed rate hike expectations persist, geopolitical premium boost the resilience of aluminium price bottom
14 JUL 20267MINS

US fed rate hike expectations persist, geopolitical premium boost the resilience of aluminium price bottom

Futures: The most-traded SHFE aluminium 2608 contract settled at RMB 23,075 per tonne, up RMB 75 from yesterday’s settlement price, a rise of 0.33 per cent. It opened at RMB 23,040 per tonne and traded in a range of RMB 23,025-23,160 per tonne. The price traded above the MA5 (23,042.00) and MA10...

Vedanta, NALCO or Hindalco: Recent aluminium price correction to offer a buying window?
14 JUL 20264MINS

Vedanta, NALCO or Hindalco: Recent aluminium price correction to offer a buying window?

After a volatile first half of the year, analysts believe that the recent correction in aluminium prices could bring favourable news. It may open up opportunities for investors in India's leading aluminium producers, including National Aluminium Company (NALCO), Hindalco Industries and Vedanta...

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