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AL Circle: Aluminium Ecosystem App
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AL Circle Private Limited | CIN: U72200WB2017PTC221175

Registered Office: Ecospace Business Park, Block 3A, Unit 401A, New Town, Rajarhat, Kolkata, WB 700160

Corporate Office: Ecospace Business Park, Block 3A, Unit 401A, New Town, Rajarhat, Kolkata, WB 700160

© 2026 AL Circle. All rights reserved. AL Circle is not responsible for content from external sources.

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NewsMiddle East ConflictPage 5
WEEKLY: Aluminium rallies as soft US jobs data, tight ingot supply set up bullish tug-of-war
07 SEPT 20263MINS
Primary AL

WEEKLY: Aluminium rallies as soft US jobs data, tight ingot supply set up bullish tug-of-war

Overnight overseas macro sentiment turned constructive, driving synchronised gains across domestic and overseas aluminium prices. The softer US August ADP private payrolls data further dampened market expectations of Fed rate hikes, easing the dollar's drag on commodities. Coupled with heightened...

Aluminium extrusion usage in building and construction to grow 1.24% CAGR through 2035, with Americas at 1.15%, Europe at 1.30% & MEA at 2.47%
02 SEPT 20268MINS
Downstream

Aluminium extrusion usage in building and construction to grow 1.24% CAGR through 2035, with Americas at 1.15%, Europe at 1.30% & MEA at 2.47%

What does the building and construction market mean for aluminium extrusion industry? The answer may depend less on how much the world builds and more on where it builds and what those buildings require. As construction activity picks up across regions, aluminium extrusion is set to follow - but...

01 SEPT 20263MINS
Primary AL

Global aluminium output falls to 6.2Mt as prices rise 0.35%, SHFE stocks dip 3% & Gulf output drops 44%

Aluminium prices settled 0.35 per cent higher at INR 345.6 (USD 3.64), backed by declining exchange inventories, expectations of additional fiscal measures in China and concerns over constrained supply from the Middle East. However, improving production prospects in the region limited further...


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Middle East conflict pushes up risk premium, aluminium ingot destocking supports aluminium price
12 JUL 20262MINS

Middle East conflict pushes up risk premium, aluminium ingot destocking supports aluminium price

Macro perspective The US-Iran situation escalated rapidly, as the US reinstated comprehensive oil sanctions on Iran, terminated the relevant memorandum of understanding, and launched strikes on over a hundred Iranian military facilities. Iran immediately retaliated, causing a sharp rise in...

China aluminium market H1 2026 review and H2 outlook
10 JUL 20269MINS

China aluminium market H1 2026 review and H2 outlook

In H1 2026, SHFE aluminium prices followed a "higher earlier, lower later" trajectory. In Q1, macro expectations for US Fed interest rate cuts intertwined with Middle East geopolitical conflicts, driving aluminium prices to surge to historical highs. Entering Q2, as the US strong-dollar policy...

China aluminium market likely to shift from surplus to deficit through 2H26
10 JUL 20265MINS

China aluminium market likely to shift from surplus to deficit through 2H26

When SHFE aluminium traded in a wide range with the average price in the first half of 2026 edging higher year-on-year, the market performance was weaker relative to LME. On the fundamentals, domestic aluminium supply rose 3 per cent year-on-year, while weak domestic demand was partially offset by...

Crisis-risk rates near 3% as US-Iran conflict puts 6.16 Mt GCC aluminium industry back on Hormuz watch
09 JUL 20267MINS

Crisis-risk rates near 3% as US-Iran conflict puts 6.16 Mt GCC aluminium industry back on Hormuz watch

The Strait of Hormuz is back at the centre of the US-Iran conflict, and the cost of moving ships through the Gulf is already responding. War-risk insurance rates for ships inside the Gulf have risen from around 2 per cent of vessel value at the end of last week towards 3 per cent in the past 24...

LME aluminium cash offer price rises 0.71% as renewed Middle East crisis fuels market uncertainty
09 JUL 20262MINS

LME aluminium cash offer price rises 0.71% as renewed Middle East crisis fuels market uncertainty

LME aluminium prices moved higher on July 8, with both cash and three-month contracts recording gains from the previous session, amid renewed geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East. Market sentiment remained cautious as reports of fresh attacks and heightened tensions between the US and Iran...

Vedanta Aluminium’s ₹250bn setback puts its ‘crown jewel’ story to the test
09 JUL 20265MINS

Vedanta Aluminium’s ₹250bn setback puts its ‘crown jewel’ story to the test

Vedanta Aluminium was seen as the “crown jewel” of Anil Agarwal’s Vedanta demerger. But less than a month after listing, it has become the weakest performer among the four newly listed entities. Since its June 15 debut, the stock has fallen 12 per cent from its listing price of INR 527, wiping out...

China's aluminium market tightens as June deficit hits 322,000 tonnes; demand rebounds
08 JUL 20266MINS

China's aluminium market tightens as June deficit hits 322,000 tonnes; demand rebounds

June marked a tale of two markets for aluminium, where a macro-driven selloff clashing with resilient fundamentals. While SHFE aluminium prices tumbled to yearly lows, pressured by expectations of US rate hikes and the evaporation of Middle Eastern risk premiums, the underlying supply-demand...

Citi sees aluminium prices recovering to $3,500 despite the recent 20% correction
03 JUL 20262MINS

Citi sees aluminium prices recovering to $3,500 despite the recent 20% correction

Aluminium prices are likely to bottom or find a floor over the coming month before staging a recovery in the second half (H2) of 2026, according to a fresh market outlook from the global bank, Citigroup or Citi. Between September and December, aluminium is expected to trade in the range of USD...

Expectations for US fed rate hikes delayed, aluminium prices’ short term weakness hard to break
03 JUL 20268MINS

Expectations for US fed rate hikes delayed, aluminium prices’ short term weakness hard to break

Futures: SHFE aluminium closed at RMB 22,510 per tonne, edging up 0.09 per cent. The price remained below the MA5 (22,580) and all medium and long-term moving averages, with the bearish alignment of the moving average system continuing, but it has moved sideways around 22,500 for two consecutive...

Geopolitical risk premium continues to narrow, aluminium prices in the doldrums
02 JUL 20268MINS

Geopolitical risk premium continues to narrow, aluminium prices in the doldrums

Futures: SHFE aluminium closed at RMB 22,485 per tonne yesterday, unchanged. The price barely held at the MA5 (22,485) but remained well below the MA10 (23,155), MA30 (23,943.67), and MA60 (24,383.33). The bearish alignment of moving averages persisted, with the price finding temporary MA5 support...

Aluminium heads for biggest monthly loss since 2008: Here's why
01 JUL 20263MINS

Aluminium heads for biggest monthly loss since 2008: Here's why

Aluminium is on course for its steepest monthly decline since October 2008 as improving expectations for Middle Eastern supply rapidly unwound the rally triggered by the Iran conflict.The metal has dropped more than 15 per cent so far in June after an interim US-Iran peace deal boosted optimism...

Middle East situation adds new uncertainties, aluminium prices continue in the doldrums
01 JUL 20267MINS

Middle East situation adds new uncertainties, aluminium prices continue in the doldrums

Futures: SHFE aluminium daytime session closed at RMB 22,610 per tonne, edging up 0.11 per cent. The price is far below all key moving averages (MA5 ≈ 22,876, MA10 ≈ 23,323.5, MA30 = 24,021.67, MA60 = 24,425.75), with the moving average system in a bearish alignment and diverging, keeping the weak...

Destocking acceleration provides support, export concerns limit rebound space
29 JUN 20267MINS

Destocking acceleration provides support, export concerns limit rebound space

Futures: SHFE aluminium closed at RMB 23,115 per tonne last Friday, up 0.81 per cent, with intraday fluctuations within 22,890-23,190. Prices are far below all key moving averages (MA5=23,119, MA10=23,622, MA30=24,149, MA60=24,501.5). The moving averages are in a bearish alignment and diverging at...

Vitol ships aluminium cargo through Strait of Hormuz as regional trade begins to recover
29 JUN 20262MINS

Vitol ships aluminium cargo through Strait of Hormuz as regional trade begins to recover

Global commodities trader Vitol has successfully moved a stranded aluminium cargo through the Strait of Hormuz, marking one of the first signs that aluminium exports from the Gulf region are beginning to normalise following disruptions caused by the recent Iran conflict. The Lowlands Corso bulk...

Macro headwinds dominate futures, Shanghai and LME aluminium both remain in the doldrums
26 JUN 20267MINS

Macro headwinds dominate futures, Shanghai and LME aluminium both remain in the doldrums

Futures: The most-traded SHFE aluminium 2608 contract closed at RMB 22,935 per tonne, down RMB 40 or 0.17 per cent from the previous settlement price. It opened at RMB 22,950 per tonne and fluctuated between RMB 22,810 and 23,030 per tonne. The price is trading below the MA5 (23,389.00), MA10...

US fed hawkish expectations combined with easing Middle East tensions, aluminium prices under pressure
25 JUN 20267MINS

US fed hawkish expectations combined with easing Middle East tensions, aluminium prices under pressure

Futures: The most-traded SHFE aluminium 2608 contract closed at RMB 22,970 per tonne, down 2.13 per cent. Prices trade below the MA5 (23,630.00), MA10 (23,854.00), MA30 (24,256.83), and MA60 (24,549.33) moving averages, with short- and medium-term moving averages in bearish alignment and gradually...

Alcoa shares drop 30% as aluminium market cools on Middle East supply hopes
24 JUN 20264MINS

Alcoa shares drop 30% as aluminium market cools on Middle East supply hopes

Alcoa shares (ASX: AAI) have come under pressure, dropping 30 per cent over the past three weeks as aluminium prices softened on expectations that supply disruptions owing to the Middle East conflict may gradually ease. On Tuesday, Alcoa's Australian-listed shares fell 4.17 per cent to close at AUD...

China alumina trade normalises after April's Middle East-driven surge, but sanctions reshape export map
24 JUN 20263MINS

China alumina trade normalises after April's Middle East-driven surge, but sanctions reshape export map

Based on data released by the General Administration of Customs of the People's Republic of China (GACC), China imported 438,500 tonnes of alumina in May 2026, marking a month-on-month decrease of 28.11 per cent but a staggering year-on-year surge of 549.63 per cent. Exports for the month stood at...

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