Is foil import from China on track to tank post India’s anti-dumping duty enforcement?

In a calculated move to tackle the overstuffing of the ‘material in question’ in its domestic aluminium industry, the Indian government imposed a provisional anti-dumping duty on aluminium foil imports from China. Effective from March 17, 2025, this measure levies duties ranging between USD 619 and USD 873 per tonne on aluminium foil up to 80 microns in thickness, with the exception of foil below 5.5 microns intended for non-capacitor applications.
This action follows the Directorate General of Trade Remedies’ (DGTR) preliminary findings, which concluded that the influx of low-priced Chinese aluminium foil has inflicted material injury on India’s domestic producers.
The DGTR’s investigation revealed that Chinese imports had seized nearly 30 per cent of the Indian market despite the country’s ample local production capacity. China exported 1.56 million tonnes of aluminium foil in 2024, among which 10 per cent was sent to India, the BofA analysts said in a note to clients on Monday, citing Shanghai Metal Market data.
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