SMM Morning Review - 2011/9/8 Aluminum Market
Supported by above news, LME aluminum rebounded with other base metals from earlier intraday low of USD 2,374.8/mt to an intraday high of USD 2,409/mt. The metal failed to break through the 10-day moving average, however, due to strong resistance, and finally closed at USD 2,405/mt, up 0.64%. Total positions increased 8,606 lots to 745,306 lots.
SMM expects LME aluminum to fluctuate between USD 2,380-2,420/mt today. Most active SHFE 1111 aluminum contract is expected to open slightly higher at RMB 17,400/mt and fluctuate between RMB 17,350-17,500/mt.Upward momentum of aluminum prices will be eroded by weak downstream consumption. With climbing SHFE current-month aluminum prices, spot premiums are expected to narrow to RMB 0-50/mt. It will remain buyers' market in the short term and transactions are expected to be moderate.
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