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China aluminium stocks fall below 900,000t, defying seasonal norms

While the traditional summer off-season of 2026 draws to a close, domestic traders' aluminium inventory has successfully dropped below the critical threshold of 900,000 tonnes. This move has completely defied the seasonal pattern of inventory buildup typically seen between June and August, marking a strong counter-seasonal drawdown driven by robust fundamentals. This rally stands out for its steady upward drift in aluminium prices, while spot premiums/discounts have remained conspicuously unc ...

Alumina

Overseas alumina market sees frequent trades and rising prices; export prospects hinge on price gap

Recent weeks have witnessed a flurry of spot transactions in the overseas alumina market, with prices exhibiting a broadly upward trajectory. As market participants shift their focus from mere price movements to underlying fundamentals, the sustainability of this rally and its potential impact on Chinese supply-demand dynamics have become central themes. Of particular interest is whether the divergence between firm overseas prices and weakening domestic values can open an export arbitrage wind ...

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China eases aluminium shortage after Iran war, but pressure shifts to Western fabricators

China is helping cushion Western aluminium markets after production losses in the Gulf caused by the Iran war. Yet the export surge could come with a longer-term cost: more aluminium processing activity may shift from Western manufacturers to Chinese producers. China, the world’s largest aluminium producer, has increased exports of primary metal, alloy and semi-finished aluminium products as Western supply chains adjust to reduced Gulf output. The additional material has helped reduce the mar ...

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