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Middle East Conflict

AL Circle Analysis: The new downstream aluminium investment map – where investors should watch
Downstream
The aluminium industry's growth story is increasingly being shaped by value-added manufacturing rather than production volumes. Robust earnings, expansion projects and business diversification continued to strengthen confidence in downstream aluminium, with several producers raising their outlooks despite macroeconomic and geopolitical headwinds. At the same time, global trade trends favoured economies with stronger downstream capabilities, while weaker exports in some regions and governance c ...
Two major factors boost market confidence, short-term aluminium prices consolidate on a strong note
Primary AL
Macro perspective The US Fed announced on Wednesday that it held rates steady at 3.50 per cent-3.75 per cent, marking the fifth consecutive meeting with no change. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, after the Fed’s decision, the probability of rates remaining unchanged in September and October increased, and the marginal constraint on the nonferrous metals sector continued to ease. The Strait of Hormuz dispute remains unresolved; according to foreign media reports, the temporary truce betwe ...

Primary AL
Market: The most-traded SHFE aluminium contract opened at RMB 23,455 per tonne during the night session on July 29, hit a high of RMB 23,510 per tonne, a low of RMB 23,420 per tonne, and finally closed at RMB 23,480 per tonne, up 0.11 per cent from the previous close. During this session, the price consolidated at highs and closed as a small bullish candlestick, remaining firmly above the MA5 (23,415.45), MA10 (23,341.50), MA20 (23,269.66), MA40 (23,257.06), and MA60 (23,347.40) moving averag ...
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