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According to SMM statistics, total outside-China aluminium production in July 2026 fell 6.7 per cent Y-o-Y, mainly due to a Y-o-Y decline in operating rates at Middle East aluminium smelters. Outside-China daily average production rebounded 1.6 per cent M-o-M, mainly driven by ongoing production resumptions at smelters in the Middle East and Iceland, as well as output increases brought by project ramp-ups and power-on commissioning in Indonesia, Vietnam, and other locations.
{alcircleadd}In July, there were many updates on operating aluminium capacity outside China. The details are as follows:
Looking ahead to August 2026, production resumptions in the Middle East are expected to continue; new projects previously commissioned in Indonesia and Vietnam are expected to continue ramping up production; and Balco’s expanded capacity in India is expected to continue ramping up.
Although the Middle East conflict has flared up again, market feedback indicates it has not affected smelter production again. Overall, outside-China aluminium production is expected to maintain the M-o-M growth trend in the short term.
However, recent market rumours suggest that construction progress for some aluminium projects in the Middle East and Indonesia has fallen short of expectations, and continued attention should be paid to subsequent announcements from relevant smelters in the Middle East, Indonesia, and India.
Note: This article has been issued by SMM and has been published by AL Circle with its original information without any modifications or edits to the core subject/data.
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