SMM Morning Review - 2011/9/20 Aluminum Market

LME aluminum hit a new yearly low of USD 2,320/mt overnight with transactions doubling to 14,245 lots. As Greek officials were to meet their major debtors today, considering inspiring results from previous meeting, investors attached high expectation to this meeting, thereby weakening risk aversion demand. As a result, LME aluminum narrowed its loss to finally close at USD 2,343/mt, down USD 32/mt or 1.35% from previous trading day. Total positions decreased 315 lots to 775,559 lots.
SMM expects LME aluminum to test the 5-day moving average today and fluctuate between USD 2,300-2,360/mt. Most active SHFE 1111 aluminum contract is expected to open lower at RMB 17,000/mt and fluctuate between RMB 16,950-17,150/mt. Spot premiums are expected to be RMB 130-180/mt over SHFE current-month aluminum price.
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