Shanghai Metals Market Morning Review - 2012/2/20 Aluminum Market
China’s latest reserve ratio cut on Saturday indicated extremely tight cash flow at banks. However, time is needed for the cut to bring noticeable support for the Chinese economy. Euro zone finance ministers will meet today to discuss the second Greek bailout plan. LME aluminum may see a slight rebound as a result of above development and move between USD 2,160-2,210/mt during today’s trading. The most active SHFE aluminum contract for delivery in May is expected to test support at the 5-day moving average and move between RMB 16,200-16,300/mt. Buying interest of downstream businesses and middlemen will pick up for lower prices, but sufficient supply will hold spot discounts over the SHFE current-month aluminum price between RMB 100-150/mt.
Rising China production keeps pressure on aluminum prices
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