SMM Morning Review - 2011/9/19 Aluminum Market

LME aluminum broke through the 30-day moving average to an intraday high of RMB 2,403.8/mt during initial trading hours on September 16th, but slipped later with renewed investor worries towards the European debt crisis. The metal finally closed with a slight USD 4.8/mt or 0.2% loss at USD 2,375/mt. Total positions increased 14,011 lots to 775,874 lots.
SMM expects LME aluminum to struggle at the 5-day moving average and fluctuate between USD 2,350-2,390/mt on September 19th. Most active SHFE 1111 aluminum contract is expected to open at above RMB 17,350/mt and fluctuate between RMB 17,300-17,400/mt. Spot premiums over SHFE current-month aluminum prices are expected to climb to RMB 130-180/mt supported by low selling interest at lower prices among goods holders.
LME aluminium to drop to $2,326/T
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