Shanghai Metals Market Morning Review - 2011/11/18 Aluminum Market
Meanwhile, New York crude slipped below USD 100/bbl. LME aluminum plunged USD 71/mt or 3.29% following the largest loss in copper to USD 2,085/mt as a result. Short positions surged by over 10,000 lots. The latest LME aluminum stock increased 75 mt to 4,561,050 mt.
LME aluminum is expected to rebound a little bit following a plunge overnight. SMM expects LME aluminum to test resistance at RMB 2,100/mt and fluctuate between USD 2,080-2,120/mt today. The most active SHFE aluminum contract 1201 is expected to gap lower below RMB 16,000/mt and fluctuate between RMB 15,800-16,100/mt as it tests support at RMB 15,800/mt. Spot aluminum is expected to be traded at discounts of RMB 20/mt to premiums of RMB 30/mt over the SHFE current-month aluminum price as the selling interest turns low among goods holders due to a plunge in the current-month aluminum price. Buyers will stand on the sidelines. Transactions will slip as a result.
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