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© 2026 Alcircle. All rights reserved. Alcircle is not responsible for content from external sources.

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Aluminium bears may be getting it wrong as prices target $3,625 in 2027
31 OCT 20263MINS
Primary AL

Aluminium bears may be getting it wrong as prices target $3,625 in 2027

Investor sentiment towards aluminium has turned increasingly bearish, but analysts believe the market may be underestimating the metal's underlying strength. Despite growing pessimism, resilient demand and historically low inventories could support higher prices, with analysts forecasting aluminium to reach USD 3,625 per tonne in 2027. Discussions with market participants have pointed to unusually negative sentiment towards the metal. However, analysts argue that the underlying supply-demand fundamentals paint a more constructive picture, challenging the prevailing pessimism surrounding the aluminium market. Their assessment follows Norsk Hydro's third-quarter financial results, which showed stronger earnings compared with the previous year but fell short of market expectations. The...

Aluminium price rises 0.74% to $3,076.8 as China’s September manufacturing PMI returns to expansion
31 OCT 20263MINS
Primary AL

Aluminium price rises 0.74% to $3,076.8 as China’s September manufacturing PMI returns to expansion

Aluminium prices recorded another gain on October 30, extending their late-month recovery as improving Chinese industrial indicators provided a supportive backdrop for the non-ferrous metals market. The latest movement comes amid a mixed demand environment, with stronger manufacturing activity and higher primary aluminium production in China contrasting with a broader slowdown in downstream purchasing. The benchmark aluminium quote reached USD 3,076.8, supported by a positive trading session. However, the recovery remains incomplete, with prices yet to return to the higher levels recorded earlier in the autumn. Aluminium rebounds from its late-October decline The daily price chart indicates a prolonged decline through June, followed by relatively stable trading and intermittent recoveries...

31 OCT 20262MINS
Primary AL

Yunnan Aluminium's net income surges 164% to $1.74b in nine months

China's Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. reported a sharp improvement in financial performance for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, with net income rising approximately 164 per cent Y-o-Y to CNY 11.6 billion (USD 1.74 billion), compared with CNY 4.39 billion (USD 660.96 million) in the corresponding period of 2025 The company's sales increased to CNY 52.61 billion (USD 7.90 billion) from CNY 44.07 billion (USD 6.62 billion) a year earlier, representing growth of approximately 19.4 per cent. The increase in net income significantly outpaced revenue growth, highlighting a substantial improvement in the company's reported earnings during the first nine months of 2026. Explore the production, demand and consumption forecasts of bauxite and alumina in our report: "Global Bauxite & Alumina...


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China’s primary aluminium inventories continue to fall W-o-W by 53,000 tonnes, majorly contributed by Wuxi
28 APR 20232MINS

China’s primary aluminium inventories continue to fall W-o-W by 53,000 tonnes, majorly contributed by Wuxi

According to the Shanghai Metals Market survey, social inventories of primary aluminium ingot across eight major consumption areas, including SHFE warrants, stood at 853,000 tonnes on Thursday, April 27, experiencing a plunge of 53,000 tonnes week-on-week from 906,000 tonnes. Compared to Monday, April 24, the inventories decreased by 32,000 tonnes from 885,000 tonnes. Hence, at the end of April 2023, the inventory declined by 235,000 tonnes through the month. The destocking was mainly due to fewer cargo arrivals. Also, the increasing share of molten aluminium being cast into intermediate products or sold to downstream plants nearby caused less shipment to major markets, resulting in the downfall of inventories. However, it has been noticed that the weekly decline of inventories has slowed...

Negative trends continue in non-ferrous metal prices
28 APR 20232MINS

Negative trends continue in non-ferrous metal prices

The London Metal Exchange (LME) for non-ferrous metal prices kept falling, as recorded on April 25, 2023. The three-month contract for aluminium futures fell 1.9 per cent to $2,335/t. To $2,600/t, zinc prices decreased by 2.6 per cent. Lead prices dropped 1.7 per cent to $2,106/t. The price of nickel decreased by 5 per cent to $23,341/t. The price of copper futures dipped 2.3 per cent to close at $8,528/t. In March 2023, the year-on-year (y-o-y) increase in Australia's monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) was 6.3 per cent, a decrease from the 6.8 per cent rise witnessed in February 2023. This figure was also lower than the market anticipation of 6.5 per cent. The drop represented the third consecutive month of declining annual inflation and marked the "slowest growth rate" since May 2022....

Alcoa reports consistent revenue earning at $2,670 million for 1Q2023, as higher aluminium price offset reduced shipment
28 APR 20233MINS

Alcoa reports consistent revenue earning at $2,670 million for 1Q2023, as higher aluminium price offset reduced shipment

Alcoa Corporation, the world’s eighth largest producer of aluminium, announced the first quarter 2023 results, reporting steady revenue earning at $2,670 million compared to $2,663 million in the previous quarter, attributed to the 8 per cent increase in average-realized third-party alumina price and 7 per cent in aluminium price. However, on a year-on-year calculation, the revenue decreased by 18.92 per cent from $3,293 million, as higher prices were partially offset by reduced shipments. In the alumina segment, third-party shipments dwindled by 13 per cent sequentially due to lower production, especially at the Kwinana refinery in Australia and San Ciprián in Spain, caused by the lack of natural gas supply. Third-party aluminium shipments fell 6 per cent Q-o-Q due to fewer trading...

LME benchmark aluminium price marks US$37.5/t slump; SHFE aluminium price increases by US$16/t
28 APR 20232MINS

LME benchmark aluminium price marks US$37.5/t slump; SHFE aluminium price increases by US$16/t

LME aluminium opened at US$2,332 per tonne on Thursday and closed at US$2,326 per tonne, down 0.21 per cent. Growing concerns around inflation in the West have simultaneously raised brows in the trade sector, with LME maintaining a below US$2,500 per tonne mark and the Chinese inventories on a destocking spree. On April 27, Thursday, the LME aluminium cash bid price came in at US$2,301.50 per tonne and the LME aluminium official settlement price settled at US$2,302 per tonne, with a loss of US$37.50 per tonne or 1.6 per cent. The 3-month bid price plunged by US$45.50 per tonne or 1.93 per cent to settle at US$2,309.50 per tonne, and the 3-month offer price dived down US$46 per tonne or 1.95 per cent halting at US$2,310 per tonne. December 24 bid price and December 24 offer price halted at...

Aluminium must be a part of the strategic raw materials list, says Vice-Chair of INTA
27 APR 20233MINS

Aluminium must be a part of the strategic raw materials list, says Vice-Chair of INTA

Anna-Michelle Asimakopoulou, the vice-chair of the European Parliament's International Trade Committee (INTA), pointed out that removing aluminium from the EU's list of strategic raw resources by the European Commission is highly unacceptable. Strategic raw materials like solar panels, electric batteries, heat pumps, and wind turbines are vital for the critical industries of the future and also an essential element to achieving the Net-Zero goals. And aluminium is a crucial component in all of these businesses and in the manufacture of electric cars in general. For example, aluminium accounts for 85 per cent of the material composition of a solar panel. Since 2010, the Commission has kept a list of Critical Raw Materials (CRM) to emphasise resources crucial to the EU's economy and value...

China's aluminium production rose by 3% y-o-y in March despite production cuts in Yunnan
27 APR 20232MINS

China's aluminium production rose by 3% y-o-y in March despite production cuts in Yunnan

The aluminium production in China for the rest of the months of 2023 might need to be clarified. Although, when compared to the same month last year, China's primary aluminium output escalated by 3 per cent in March. The growth was more sedated than in earlier months. However, this did provide some relief, as the future of output and the price of aluminium globally appears less promising. The Yunnan province of China , which produces around 12 per cent of China's total aluminium capacity, has seen a string of power outages that have hampered production. In fact, due to insufficient rainfall since September 2022 of the previous year, Yunnan has had problems with its electricity output. The aluminium smelters in the region are still constrained by these power problems, which decelerate...

LME aluminium benchmark price hikes by US$26.5/t to US$2,339.50/t; SHFE price drops to US$2,686/t
27 APR 20232MINS

LME aluminium benchmark price hikes by US$26.5/t to US$2,339.50/t; SHFE price drops to US$2,686/t

LME aluminium opened at US$2,332 per tonne on Wednesday and closed at US$2,331 per tonne, down 0.04 per cent. On Wednesday, April 26, both LME aluminium cash bid price and LME aluminium official settlement price increased by US$27 per tonne or 1.16 per cent and US$26.5 per tonne or 1.14 per cent to halt at US$2,339 per tonne and US$2,339.50 per tonne. 3-month bid price and 3-month offer price ascended by US$23.5 per tonne and US$24 per tonne to settle at US$2,355 per tonne and US$2,356 per tonne. December 24 bid price and December 24 offer price hiked by US$27 per tonne or 1.07 per cent to score at US$2,532 per tonne and US$2,537 per tonne. LME aluminium opening stock came in at 571800 tonnes. Live warrants and Cancelled warrants settled at 498700 tonnes and 73100 tonnes. LME aluminium...

Africa’s primary aluminium production falls 3.2% Q-o-Q during 1Q2023 amid monthly rise in March
26 APR 20231MINS

Africa’s primary aluminium production falls 3.2% Q-o-Q during 1Q2023 amid monthly rise in March

According to the International Aluminium Institute, Africa’s primary aluminium production during the first quarter of 2023 ended March 31, stood at 392,000 tonnes, down by 3.21 per cent or 13,000 tonnes from 405,000 tonnes during Q4 2022. On a year-on-year basis, the output edged a drop of 1.26 per cent from 397,000 tonnes. However, Africa’s monthly output in March stood 8,000 tonnes or 6.50 per cent higher than 123,000 tonnes in February at 131,000 tonnes, but fell 6,000 tonnes or 4.38 per cent from 137,000 tonnes a year ago. On the other hand, Africa’s average daily output in March 2023 recorded a fall month-on-month from 4,400 tonnes to 4,200 tonnes. On an annual basis, the daily out in March also dropped from 4,400 tonnes. The world’s primary aluminium production in March 2023 was...

LME aluminium benchmark price trends down 3.67% W-o-W to US$2313/t; SHFE price declines by US$22/t overnight
26 APR 20232MINS

LME aluminium benchmark price trends down 3.67% W-o-W to US$2313/t; SHFE price declines by US$22/t overnight

Three-month LME aluminium opened at US$2,381 per tonne on Tuesday and closed at US$2,331 per tonne, down 2.1 per cent. On Tuesday, April 25, the LME aluminium cash bid price plunged by US$42 per tonne to US$2,312 per tonne, and LME aluminium official settlement price declined by US$41.50 per tonne to peg at US$2,313 per tonne, marking the third consecutive day of fall. The continuous downfall through the previous week has brought the LME aluminium benchmark price 3.67 per cent lower than US$2,401 per tonne on last Tuesday . The 3-month bid price and 3-month offer price contracted by US$41 per tonne or 1.73 per cent to settle at US$2331.50 per tonne and US$2,332 per tonne. December 24 bid price and December 24 offer price shrank by US$35 per tonne to stand at US$2,505 per tonne and...

US primary aluminium production plummets by 21% Y-o-Y during Feb’23
25 APR 20232MINS

US primary aluminium production plummets by 21% Y-o-Y during Feb’23

According to the US Census Bureau data, domestic primary aluminium production in February 2023 was 59,000 tonnes, reflecting a decline of 5,000 tonnes or 7.81 per cent month-on-month. In January, the US primary aluminium output was 64,000 tonnes, muted from the previous month. On a year-on-year basis, the US primary aluminium output stood 16,000 tonnes or 21.33 per cent lower than 75,000 tonnes. In two months of 2023, the United States produced 123,000 tonnes of primary metal, 21.66 per cent down from 157,000 tonnes during the corresponding period of the previous year. The average daily production in February 2023 was 1,900 tonnes – 10 per cent less than 2,050 tonnes in January'23 and 28.84 per cent down from 2,670 tonnes in February'22. Total aluminium recovered from scrap was 274,000...

South32 on track to meet production guidance for the year ending in June; aluminium output till Q3 records 15% growth
25 APR 20232MINS

South32 on track to meet production guidance for the year ending in June; aluminium output till Q3 records 15% growth

According to a report published on Monday, April 24, South32, a leading mining and metals company headquartered in Perth, is close to meeting production guidance across most of its operations for the financial year to end June 30, 2023. However, the company’s share price dropped nearly 6 per cent to INR 50.17 on the Johannesburg Stock Exchange soon after the announcement of the third quarter (end-March) results. Regarding this, CEO Graham Kerr commented that production in the said quarter stood lower than anticipated because of adverse weather in Mozambique and Australia. Kerr also apprised that operating unit cost guidance for the year has remained unchanged alongside the group capital expenditure. He said “improved market conditions supported higher prices across most of our commodity’s...

China's A00 aluminium ingot price declines for the third day by RMB70/t despite continued inventory fall
25 APR 20233MINS

China's A00 aluminium ingot price declines for the third day by RMB70/t despite continued inventory fall

According to the Shanghai Metals Market data, A00 aluminium ingot price has fallen for the third day despite sluggish primary aluminium inventories across China. Then what could be the reason behind the price fall? Well, weaker metal consumption by downstream producers could be a factor for the decline in price. On Tuesday, April 25, the primary aluminium ingot price has dwindled by RMB 70 per tonne to peg at RMB 18,830 per tonne. The average prices are estimated to range between RMB 18,810 per tonne and RMB 18,850 per tonne, with a spot contract to be traded at a discount price of RMB 20 per tonne and a premium price of RMB 20 per tonne. On a week-on-week basis, the price is down by RMB 30 per tonne from RMB 18,860 per tonne. But on a month-on-month calculation, the price reflects the...

LME aluminium benchmark price drops by US$34/t to US$2,354.50/t; SHFE price loses US$9/t
25 APR 20232MINS

LME aluminium benchmark price drops by US$34/t to US$2,354.50/t; SHFE price loses US$9/t

LME aluminium fell after opening at US$2,399 per tonne on Monday but rebounded towards the end of the day and closed at US$2,385 per tonne, a drop of 0.73 per cent. On Monday, April 24, both LME aluminium cash bid price and LME aluminium official settlement price dropped by US$34 per tonne or 1.42 per cent to halt at US$2,354 per tonne and US$2,354.50 per tonne. 3-month bid price and 3-month offer price slipped by US$25.5 per tonne or 1.06 per cent and US$27 per tonne or 1.12 per cent to score at US$2,372.50 per tonne and US$2,373 per tonne. December 24 bid price and December 24 offer price fell by US$23 per tonne or 0.89 per cent to come in at US$2,540 per tonne and US$2,545 per tonne. LME aluminium opening stock halted at 569600 tonnes. Live warrants and Cancelled warrants settled at...

World’s primary aluminium production improves 2% Y-o-Y during 1Q2023 amid muted output in March
24 APR 20232MINS

World’s primary aluminium production improves 2% Y-o-Y during 1Q2023 amid muted output in March

According to the International Aluminium Institute, the world's primary aluminium production in March 2023 stood at 5.772 miilion tonnes, bringing the total output in the first quarter to 16.895 million tonnes. The monthly production in March increased by 9.63 per cent from 5.265 million tonnes in February but remained almost restrained compared to 5.774 million tonnes a year ago. The output in Q1 2023 registered a fall of 2.89 per cent from 17.397 million tonnes in Q4 2022 and an increase of 2.23 per cent from 16.527 million tonnes in Q1 2022. IAI data also showed the world daily average primary aluminium production in March amounted to 186,200 tonnes, down by 0.96 per cent month-on-month from 188,000 tonnes and up by 0.50 per cent year-on-year from 185,300 tonnes. In Q1, daily average...

Oetinger Aluminium GmbH represents Europe as the first recipient of ASI CoC Standard V2 (2022) Certification
24 APR 20232MINS

Oetinger Aluminium GmbH represents Europe as the first recipient of ASI CoC Standard V2 (2022) Certification

Oetinger Aluminium GmbH, a leading producer and supplier of casting alloy ingots, has obtained ASI Chain of Custody (CoC) Standard V2 (2022) Certification for the Weißenhorn and Neu-Ulm production sites in Germany. Oetinger, thus, represents the first entity in Europe to have received the updated CoC Standard V2, launched in May 2022. The two sites produce nearly 180,000 tonnes per year of aluminium casting alloys in solid (ingots) and liquid form (tankers). A year ago, Oetinger Aluminium had bagged ASI Performance Standard Certification with Provisional Status for the production of casting alloys from scrap and recycled materials. The independent third-party audit for the current certification was carried out by GUTcert (AFNOR Group). On receiving another ASI certification, Lubomir...

Automation can boost efficiency in the manufacturing sector: IBM
24 APR 20233MINS

Automation can boost efficiency in the manufacturing sector: IBM

The manufacturing sector can increase productivity, optimize operations and reduce customer complaints by automating tasks. Artificial intelligence, machine learning, and process automation combined with intelligent automation (IA) can reduce labour costs and optimize production. A consistent theme keeps surfacing while discussing with clients of all sizes in the manufacturing sector. They have begun implementing Intelligent Automation, the fusion of automation and AI technologies, primarily to enhance customer satisfaction and increase operational effectiveness. AI is used by manufacturers to assess sensor data and assist production facilities in predicting the possibility of upcoming machinery breakdowns, enabling the scheduling of preventive maintenance and repairs in advance....

LME aluminium benchmark price shrinks to US$2388.5/t; SHFE price descends by US$13/t
24 APR 20232MINS

LME aluminium benchmark price shrinks to US$2388.5/t; SHFE price descends by US$13/t

On Friday, April 21, three-month LME aluminium opened at US$2,422 per tonne last Friday and closed at US$2,402 per tonne, a drop of 0.85 per cent. On the same day, the LME aluminium cash bid price and LME aluminium official settlement price shrank by US$21.50 per tonne or 0.89 per cent. That marked a downfall on an alternate day after a fall of US$19 per tonne on April 19 . With the latest decline, LME aluminium cash bid price and LME aluminium official settlement price closed the week at US$2,388 per tonne and US$2,388.50 per tonne, respectively. The 3-month bid price and 3-month offer price decreased by US$32 per tonne and US$31 per tonne, respectively, to peg at US$2,398 per tonne and US$2,400 per tonne. December 24 bid price and December 24 offer price dwindled US$34 per tonne to rest...

Yunnan weather forecast may influence China's aluminium production
23 APR 20232MINS

Yunnan weather forecast may influence China's aluminium production

The International Aluminium Institute (IAI)'s most recent monthly assessment shows that during the first three months of 2023, the world's primary aluminium production increased by 2.0 per cent y-o-y to 16.9 million tonnes. Restarts and reductions in aluminium production outside of China mainly balance each other, resulting in a plateau. China, which contributes around 57- 60 per cent of global primary metal production, increased output by 3.9 per cent compared to the first quarter of 2022, and the growth rate dipped by 0.9 per cent in March. In the hydro-rich region of Yunnan, where power-intensive smelters have been instructed to scale back operations to aid with a severe drought, lower production is not being countered by new or restarted capacity. The weather patterns in China's...

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