
Labour Day holidays in China last week, re-escalations of trade tensions between Washington and Beijing and another LME holiday in the beginning of the week have driven the movements of LME and SHFE aluminium in this week. The US dollar increased on Monday as the cautious stance in the global markets sustained the upside momentum in the greenback, after the US President Donald Trump re-ignited trade effervescence on Sunday. The LME was closed for a bank holiday on Monday and it reopened trading on Tuesday.
LME aluminium fell below all moving averages to a low of US$1,796 per tonne last Friday night. After the trading reopened on Tuesday, May 7, Benchmark aluminium price on London Metal Exchange dropped to close at US$ 1767 per tonne from US$ 1783.5 per tonne on Friday, May 3. For the rest of the week, LME aluminium traded within a close range of US$ 1761 per tonne to US$ 1767 per tonne. The contract is trading at one of the lowest ranges in two years and is not likely to see any significant upward movement in the coming week.
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As on May 10, LME aluminium cash (bid) price stood at US$ 1764 per tonne, LME official settlement price stands at US$ 1765 per tonne; 3-months bid price stands at US$ 1800 per tonne, 3-months offer price is US$ 1800.50 per tonne; Dec 20 bid price stands at US$ 1918 per tonne, and Dec 20 offer price stands at US$ 1923 per tonne.
The LME aluminium opening stock stood at 1266575 tonnes. Live Warrants totalled at 849225 tonnes, and Cancelled Warrants were 417350 tonnes.
LME aluminium 3-months Asian Reference Price is hovering at US$ 1809 per tonne.
SME and SHFE Aluminium Price Trend
The benchmark aluminium price on Shanghai Metal Exchange had an active run all through the week after the Labour Day holidays. The price ranged within US$ 2050 per tonne to US$ 2076 per tonne over the week.
The most traded SHFE June contract had a bullish week too. The contract rose during Friday, finishing the trading day 1.21% higher at RMB 14,170 per tonne. It has fully recovered from Monday’s sharp loss and stands firmly above the middle Bollinger band. SHFE aluminium is expected to stay at highs in the next week with a trading range of RMB 14,050-14,190 per tonne.
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