
The US dollar rebounded from earlier lows on Tuesday, after China's central bank said that it would not use currency as a tool to deal with trade disputes. China on Monday let its currency weaken past 7 to the dollar, its lowest level since the 2008 financial crisis, which led the US to label Beijing a currency manipulator. Most LME base metals closed higher on Tuesday. LME aluminium shed 0.2% and SHFE aluminium fell 0.2%.
Three-month LME aluminium dropped to a low of US$1,759.5 per tonne on Tuesday before it recovered some ground at end 0.23% lower at US$1,762 per tonne. Tuesday’s losses could be attributed to the news that Rusal has resumed its Achinsk alumina plant which suspended operations earlier this week after a fire broke out nearby. A stronger US dollar is likely to weigh on LME aluminium, which will trade between US$1,700-1,800 per tonne today.
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As on August 6, Tuesday, LME aluminium cash (bid) price stood at US$ 1740 per tonne, LME official settlement price stands at US$ 1740.50 per tonne; 3-months bid price stands at US$ 1766 per tonne, 3-months offer price is US$ 1766.50 per tonne; Dec 20 bid price stands at US$ 1868 per tonne, and Dec 20 offer price stands at US$ 1873 per tonne.
The LME aluminium opening stock dropped yesterday to 1017700 tonnes. Live Warrants totalled at 756875 tonnes, and Cancelled Warrants were 260825 tonnes.
LME aluminium 3-months Asian Reference Price is hovering at US$ 1765 per tonne.
SME and SHFE Aluminium Price Trend
The benchmark aluminium price on Shanghai Metal Exchange (SME) dropped to US$ 1967 per tonne today from US$ 1975 per tonne on Tuesday.
The most-active SHFE September contract traded rangebound with a high of RMB 13,910 per tonne yesterday as the market again looked at fundamentals. It pared some gains and closed the trading day 0.29% higher at RMB13,865 per tonne, with open interests up 2,608 lots to 216,460 lots. As longs trimmed their positions, the September contract lost 0.18% to end at RMB 13,855 per tonne overnight. SHFE aluminium is expected to strengthen in seesaw trade in August-September as demand will pick up earlier than the commissioning of capacity. The contract is expected to trade between RMB 13,800-13,900 per tonne today, with spot prices in a discount of RMB 20 per tonne to a premium of RMB 20 per tonne.
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