
The US dollar strengthened on Friday against a basket of other currencies, erasing earlier losses on improved US manufacturing output and services data. LME base metals closed mixed in Friday and aluminium fell 0.2%. The SHFE complex drifted higher and aluminium inched up 0.1%.
LME aluminium dropped after two consecutive rises. Three-month LME aluminium slipped to an intraday low of US$1,735.5 per tonne on Friday, before it regained some losses to end down 0.2% at US$1,740 per tonne. LME aluminium today is expected to come under pressure from the firmer greenback, and move between US$1,730-1,745 per tonne.
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As on November 22, Friday, LME aluminium cash (bid) price stood at US$ 1749.50 per tonne, LME official settlement price stands at US$ 1750 per tonne; 3-months bid price stands at US$ 1738 per tonne, 3-months offer price is US$ 1738.50 per tonne; Dec 20 bid price stands at US$ 1807 per tonne, and Dec 20 offer price stands at US$ 1812 per tonne.
The LME aluminium opening stock increased to 1180400 tonnes. Live Warrants totalled at 1000875 tonnes, and Cancelled Warrants were 179525 tonnes.
LME aluminium 3-months Asian Reference Price is hovering at US$ 1741 per tonne.
SHFE Aluminium Price Trend
Benchmark aluminium price for SHFE (Shanghai Future Exchange) dropped to US$ 2003 per tonne today November 25, 2019.
Departing longs weighed the most-traded SHFE 2001 contract to an intraday low of RMB 13,820 per tonne, before short-covering lifted the contract and ended it higher at RMB 13,855 per tonne on Friday. The SHFE 2001 contract rose to a two-week high of RMB 13,880 per tonne on Friday night, before it weakened to close 0.11% higher at RMB 13,855 per tonne. Limited downside is expected in SHFE aluminium as falling inventories keep shorts cautious. The contract is expected to trade between RMB 13,800-13,870 per tonne today, with spot premiums of RMB 70-110 per tonne over the SHFE 1912 contract.
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