H1 2025: World primary aluminium output grows despite market headwinds, with China and emerging regions driving gains

The world primary aluminium production seems to have withstood all the recent hurdles like escalating trade tensions, raw material costs, and supply chain disruptions with a decent growth rate of 1.4 per cent year-on-year in the second quarter of 2025. Albeit a slower than in 2024, the growth in the world’s primary aluminium production in Q2 2025 was largely encouraged by the bullish aluminium price trend on the London Metal Exchange, ranging between USD 2,499 per tonne and USD 2,593 per tonne. However, the increased LME alumina (Platts) price reaching above USD 363 per tonne dampened the mood of primary aluminium producers slightly, offsetting the output volume.

Nonetheless, the world primary aluminium production closed the H1 with a Y-o-Y hike, amounting to 36.459 million tonnes versus 35.960 million tonnes in H1 2024. According to the data revealed by the International Aluminium Institute (IAI), the surge in Q2 production propelled the overall growth in H1, standing at 18.344 million tonnes. Compared to 18.115 million tonnes in Q1, the output in Q2 stood 1.26 per cent higher. Even on an annual basis, the production volume in Q2 recorded an increase of 1.6 per cent from USD 18.053 million tonnes.
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