
The US dollar rose on Thursday to 98.14, as better-than-expected US retail sales data eased fears that the US economy could be headed for a recession. LME base metals closed mixed overnight. LME aluminium nudged up 0.03% and SHFE aluminium inched up 0.1%.
LME aluminium gained during day’s trading and closed higher. The trend continued overnight and three-month LME aluminium recovered from earlier losses to end the day a tad higher at US$1,785 per tonne. It is expected to trade between US$1,760-1,800 per tonne today.
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As on August 15, Wednesday, LME aluminium cash (bid) price stood at US$ 1742 per tonne, LME official settlement price stands at US$ 1742.50 per tonne; 3-months bid price stands at US$ 1776 per tonne, 3-months offer price is US$ 1777 per tonne; Dec 20 bid price stands at US$ 1870 per tonne, and Dec 20 offer price stands at US$ 1875 per tonne.
The LME aluminium opening stock dropped to 976700 tonnes. Live Warrants totalled at 689100 tonnes, and Cancelled Warrants were 287600 tonnes.
LME aluminium 3-months Asian Reference Price is hovering at US$ 1776 per tonne.
SME and SHFE Aluminium Price Trend
The benchmark aluminium price on Shanghai Metal Exchange (SME) increased to US$ 2023 per tonne today from US$ 2019 per tonne on Thursday.
Renewed market talk that production in Shandong was affected by typhoon rallied the most-liquid SHFE October contract to a high of RMB 14,315 per tonne around noon, before the contract gave up some gains and finished at RMB 14,200 per tonne, up 0.28% on the day. Aggressive builds of long positions bolstered the October contract in early trade overnight, before the contract traded rangebound to close 0.14% higher at RMB 14,240 per tonne. SHFE aluminium is expected to consolidate at highs, given firm long positioning. It is likely to move between RMB 14,150-14,300 per tonne today, while spot prices are seen in a discount of RMB 30 per tonne to a premium of RMB 10 per tonne relative to the SHFE 1909 contract.
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