Shanghai Metals Market Morning Review - 2012/2/2 Aluminum Market
LME aluminum prices have been volatile this week as the European debt crisis remains unsolved and US employments, which are expected to considerably trail estimate, may erode support from gains in PMI data of major economies. SMM expects LME aluminum to test support at the 5-day moving average and move between USD 2,250-2,300/mt during today’s trading. The most active SHFE three-month aluminum contract is expected to test resistance at the 5-day moving average and hover between RMB 16,250-16,350/mt. Traders in the spot market will actively move goods at discounts of RMB 100-150/mt over the SHFE current-month aluminum price in the face of sufficient supply. The downstream buying interest will be low, however, due to limited stock replenishments.
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