Rio Tinto upbeat on aluminum, cautious near term
"We remain cautious of the short-term outlook" for aluminum, Jacynthe Cote, chief executive of Rio Tinto Alcan, a division of Anglo-Australian mining titan Rio Tinto PLC /quotes/zigman/182541/quotes/nls/rio RIO +0.17% , said in a presentation. The "physical market remains tight but inventories remain at high levels."
Nevertheless, urbanization and development in the BRIC countries continue help drive long-term aluminum demand and boost currently low levels of per capita aluminum consumption globally.
There's "still a lot to come for aluminum," Cote said.
Global aluminum supply is forecast to rise to 55 million tons in 2015 from an estimated 45 million tons in 2011 and 32 million tons in 2005, according to Rio Tinto Alcan's presentation.
Meanwhile global aluminum demand is forecast to grow at a compounded annual growth rate of 5.5% between 2010 and 2015, with Chinese demand growing at 8.6% a year during that period.
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