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AL CIRCLE

NALCO’s share price rally tells a bigger story than just a new high

EDITED BY : 5MINS READ

A steady climb has taken National Aluminium Company’s share price to a fresh 52-week high of INR 279.85 ( USD 3.10). The move crowns a year of rising earnings, expanding cash flows, and a balance sheet that has remained largely untouched by debt.

NALCO’s rally tells a bigger story than a new price high

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The stock’s journey has been notable for its consistency. From a 52 week low of Rs.140 (USD 1.54 ), NALCO has been on a consistent high, recording a cumulative return of 6.41 per cent over the last three trading sessions alone. On 15 December 2025, it not only reached a new annual peak but also outpaced its sector by 0.84 per cent on the same day.

NALCO builds momentum amidst a cautious market

While NALCO was hitting new highs, the broader market was moving more cautiously. The Sensex opened the day lower at INR 84,891.75 (USD 933.91), slipping 0.44 per cent, before recovering to around INR 85,223.21 (USD 937.58). Even with that recovery, the benchmark remains just 1.1 per cent below its own 52-week high of INR 86,159.02 (USD 947.88).

Precisely, the broader market retains a positive bias with the Sensex trading above its 50-day moving average, which in turn sits above the 200 day line, indicating a bullish stance. Small-cap funds also showed resilience, with the BSE Small Cap index rising to 0.25 per cent. 

In this premise, NALCO’s chart appears significantly firm. The stock is trading above every major moving average from the 5-day to the 200-day, signalling sustained buying interest rather than a fleeting rally.

Also read: NALCO’s breakout year: lower cost with high production signals dramatic growth

The company’s recent price action is closely tied to its operating performance. For the first nine months of the current financial year, NALCO posted net sales of INR 13,367.11 crores ( USD 1.61 billion), representing growth of 28.08 per cent. Profit growth has been even sharper. Net profit for the latest six-month period rose 51.70 per cent to Rs.2,479.42 crores ( USD 299 million).

Cash flows have remained robust, with annual operating cash generation climbing to a record INR 5,806.11 crores ( USD 700 million). It clearly reveals that NALCO has the capacity to support its own operations without relying on borrowings. Over a period of time, profitability metrics continue to reflect optimum capital usage with ROCE averaging 33.90 per cent and ROE stands at 30.8 per cent. With a debt-free balance sheet and a price-to-book ratio of 2.6, the stock wins value from the sensible investors.

Consistency across quarters

What has helped NALCO stand apart is not just growth, but regularity. The company has delivered positive financial results for eight consecutive quarters. Over the past year, profits have risen by 119.4 per cent, while operating profit has expanded at an annual rate of 139.15 per cent.

That consistency has translated into shareholder returns. Over the same one-year period, NALCO’s stock has gained 23.11 per cent, comfortably ahead of the Sensex, which rose 3.75 per cent.

Also read: How will the P1020A Premium (QMJP) CIF Japan price evolve in Q1 2026?

Income appeal and institutional backing

At current levels, the stock offers a dividend yield of 3.77 per cent, a feature that adds to its appeal in the non-ferrous metals space. Institutional investors appear to share that view. They now hold 31.66 per cent of the company’s equity, with their stake increasing by 0.84 per cent over the last quarter.

Such participation often points to confidence in earnings visibility and balance sheet strength rather than short-term price momentum.

With a market capitalisation of roughly INR.51,095 crores ( USD 6.16 billion), NALCO is the second-largest listed player in the non-ferrous metals sector, behind Hindalco Industries, accounting for 20.76 per cent of the sector’s total market value and contributing 6.58 per cent to annual industry sales of INR 18,029.33 crores ( USD 2.17 billion).

To know more about the current aluminium market trends, explore our 50+ industry reports here

Low debt and steady returns kept investors engaged

The recent rise in NALCO’s share price reveals strength in the non-ferrous metals segment and improving sentiment around mid-cap stocks. Trading above all key technical levels, the stock has shown resilience even when benchmark indices have turned volatile.

Low leverage, high returns on capital, steady dividends, and rising institutional ownership have collectively provided support to the current valuation.

Key financial snapshot

  • Net sales: INR.13,367.11 crores (USD 1.61 billion in the first nine months), up 28.08 per cent
     
  • Net profit: INR.2,479.42 crores ( USD 299 million in the latest six months), up 51.70 per cent
     
  • Operating cash flow: INR .5,806.11 crores ( USD 700 million)
     
  • ROCE: 33.90 per cent
     
  • ROE: 30.8 per cent
     
  • Dividend yield: 3.77 per cent
     
  • Market capitalisation: approx. INR.51,095 crores ( USD 6.16 billion)

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The final takeaway

NALCO’s move to INR.279.85 ( USD 3.37) is the outcome of steady execution rather than a sudden shift in sentiment. With strong earnings growth, consistent quarterly performance, and a debt-free balance sheet, the company has built a foundation that continues to attract both income-focused and long-term investors. In a market that has shown intermittent volatility, National Aluminium Company has managed to chart a more assured path.

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EDITED BY : 5MINS READ

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