Aluminium outlook appears neutral according to Fibonacci projection

LME aluminium looks neutral in a range of $1,780-$1,805 a tonne, and an escape will point a direction.

The range has been formed by the 23.6 per cent and the 61.8 per cent Fibonacci projection levels of an upward wave C, the third wave of a presumed three-wave cycle developed from March 12 low of $1,745.

A break above $1,805 could confirm the extension of the wave c towards $1,830, the 100 per cent projection level, while a break below $1,780 may cause a further loss to $1,765.

The bias could be towards the upside.

LME copper may fall into a range of $5,932-$5,958 a tonne, as indicated by a Fibonacci ratio analysis.

The drop from March 26 high of $6,294.50 seems been controlled by various supports and resistances, derived respectively from a Fibonacci retracement and projection analyses.

The projection analysis reveals a support at $6,005 and a resistance at $6,096, respectively the 61.8 per cent and the 76.4 per cent levels, while the retracement analysis on the rise from March 18 low of $5,621.50 to $6,294.50 reveals another support at $6,037, the 38.2 per cent level and the resistance at $6,136, the 23.6 per cent level.

Even though the drop from $6,294.50 has adopted a complex mode, it seems to be incomplete, as it may extend either to $5,958, the 50 per cent retracement, or to $5,932, the 50 per cent projection level.

A break above $6,096 trigger a limited gain to $6,136.