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EU's China-focused anti-dumping measures to expire soon: Will it extend past 2026?

EDITED BY : 5MINS READ

As of July 1, 2025, the European Commission has fired the starting gun on what could be one of the most consequential trade decisions for the European aluminium industry in recent years. The Commission has issued an official notice of impending expiry for the anti-dumping duties currently levied on aluminium extrusions imported from the People’s Republic of China. In turn, the retraction can conceivably trigger a sharp recalibration of regional manufacturing strategies and market dynamics.

Europe’s aluminium walls are cracking: Will anti-dumping measures against China extend past 2026?Image for representational purposes only

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Unless a formal review request is submitted by EU producers before the end of 2025, the anti-dumping measures will lapse at midnight on March 31, 2026, as stipulated in Regulation (EU) 2016/1036 and documented in Notice C/2025/3573, published in the Official Journal of the European Union on July 1, 2025.

Why the EU locked China out in 2021

The current measures were first imposed through Commission Implementing Regulation (EU) 2021/546 of March 29 2021, after a detailed investigation found that Chinese aluminium extrusions were entering the EU market at dumped prices, causing material injury to domestic producers.

The EU initiated an anti‑dumping probe in February 2020, followed by temporary duties in October 2020 (30–48 per cent) and final duties in March 2021 (21–32 per cent)

The aluminium extrusions’ anti-dumping duty levied on a critical part of supply chains for construction, automotive, renewable energy, and consumer electronics was to shield Europe’s aluminium extrusion sector from what the Commission described as “unfair competition” backed by Chinese state subsidies and production overcapacity.

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