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Century Aluminum valuation surges after US smelter JV, restart push and earnings strength

EDITED BY : 3MINS READ

Century Aluminum valuation surges after US smelter JV, restart push and earnings strength

Whilst the global aluminium industry faces the ongoing supply shocks and the move by companies, one firm comes under the spotlight. Century Aluminum, a global metal and mining company focusing on bauxite, alumina and aluminium, shares price valuation are being checked, especially after the Oklahoma smelter joint venture (JV) and the recent asset reshuffling. 

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A surge in Century Aluminum's share price has been noticed by the analysts recently, which also includes a 26.54 per cent 7-day share price return. Additionally, the surge also includes the lump sum 3-year total shareholder return. This directly reflects on the increasing interest post the supply disruption as well as the upgraded outlooks from the partners and the lenders.

Also read: Century Aluminum sees higher demand, restarts capacity, and plans 750,000-tonne smelter

Based on the qualitative assessment, the firm's stock saw a gain of nearly 60 per cent since December 2025. This is mainly because in January 2026, the firm partnered with Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA) to start the construction of the first new primary aluminium smelter in the US since 1980. In this project, the firm will own a 40 per cent share and expects to churn nearly 750 thousand tonnes of aluminium per year. 

Besides this, in February 2026, the firm announced the restarting of its 50 thousand tonnes of previously idled production at the Mt. Holly facility by the end of the second quarter. In addition to this, the firm also sold and redeveloped the Hawesville smelter, bringing in USD 200 million, while still holding onto a 6.8 per cent stake in a data centre.

Must read: Key industry individuals share their thoughts on the trending topics

The merger and the restart were not just that, but the firm also reported strong earnings, showcasing a positive Q1 2026 outlook. For Q4 2025, the firm announced an adjusted net income of USD 128.2 million, translating to USD 1.25 per diluted share. In the coming years, the firm is optimistic about Q1 2026 and expects to see an adjusted EBITDA in the range of USD 215 million to USD 235 million. This is mainly because of the gains in the metal pricing and regional premiums. 

Day-on-day, the firm's share price at the opening of the share market was at USD 61.75 per share and at the close it was at USD 62.57 per share. At the previous close, it was at USD 63.51, showing a decline of 1.5 per cent.

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On a week-on-week basis, on March 27, the firm's share price stood at USD 48.43 per share, which on April 2, was USD 62.57 per share, reflecting an increase of 29.2 per cent. 

Concerning the month-on-month share price movement, on March 3, the share price was recorded at USD 52.92 per share, which reflects a rise of 18.4 per cent. At the beginning of this year, the share price was at USD 40.94 per share, showing year-to-date growth of 53 per cent. 

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EDITED BY : 3MINS READ

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