The aluminium sector across Africa and Asia (excluding China) has been gathering strength for three years now, and the momentum has carried cleanly into 2025. Over the first nine months of the year, the two regions produced 4.84 million tonnes of primary aluminium, supported by steady monthly output in the 504–544 thousand-tonne range and daily averages holding between 17.3 and 17.5 thousand tonnes. That consistency pushed cumulative production 1.55 per cent higher than in 2024 and 3.70 per cent above 2023, signalling a supply base that has become both more resilient and more predictable.
According to International Aluminium Association, the quarterly numbers show the same quiet climb. The 2025, began with 1.59 million tonnes in Q1, edged up to 1.61 million tonnes in Q2, and reached 1.63 million tonnes in Q3. These back-to-back increases — 1.25 per cent from Q1 to Q2 and 1.12 per cent from Q2 to Q3 — reflect an industry that has settled into a stable growth pattern.
That consistency didn’t appear overnight. In 2024, total output for January to September rose to 4.76 million tonnes, a 2.12 per cent improvement over the 4.6 million tonnes recorded in 2023.
Alumina output follows same upward curve
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