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© 2026 Alcircle. All rights reserved. Alcircle is not responsible for content from external sources.

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Aluminium bears may be getting it wrong as prices target $3,625 in 2027
31 OCT 20263MINS
Primary AL

Aluminium bears may be getting it wrong as prices target $3,625 in 2027

Investor sentiment towards aluminium has turned increasingly bearish, but analysts believe the market may be underestimating the metal's underlying strength. Despite growing pessimism, resilient demand and historically low inventories could support higher prices, with analysts forecasting aluminium to reach USD 3,625 per tonne in 2027. Discussions with market participants have pointed to unusually negative sentiment towards the metal. However, analysts argue that the underlying supply-demand fundamentals paint a more constructive picture, challenging the prevailing pessimism surrounding the aluminium market. Their assessment follows Norsk Hydro's third-quarter financial results, which showed stronger earnings compared with the previous year but fell short of market expectations. The...

Aluminium price rises 0.74% to $3,076.8 as China’s September manufacturing PMI returns to expansion
31 OCT 20263MINS
Primary AL

Aluminium price rises 0.74% to $3,076.8 as China’s September manufacturing PMI returns to expansion

Aluminium prices recorded another gain on October 30, extending their late-month recovery as improving Chinese industrial indicators provided a supportive backdrop for the non-ferrous metals market. The latest movement comes amid a mixed demand environment, with stronger manufacturing activity and higher primary aluminium production in China contrasting with a broader slowdown in downstream purchasing. The benchmark aluminium quote reached USD 3,076.8, supported by a positive trading session. However, the recovery remains incomplete, with prices yet to return to the higher levels recorded earlier in the autumn. Aluminium rebounds from its late-October decline The daily price chart indicates a prolonged decline through June, followed by relatively stable trading and intermittent recoveries...

31 OCT 20262MINS
Primary AL

Yunnan Aluminium's net income surges 164% to $1.74b in nine months

China's Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. reported a sharp improvement in financial performance for the nine months ended September 30, 2026, with net income rising approximately 164 per cent Y-o-Y to CNY 11.6 billion (USD 1.74 billion), compared with CNY 4.39 billion (USD 660.96 million) in the corresponding period of 2025 The company's sales increased to CNY 52.61 billion (USD 7.90 billion) from CNY 44.07 billion (USD 6.62 billion) a year earlier, representing growth of approximately 19.4 per cent. The increase in net income significantly outpaced revenue growth, highlighting a substantial improvement in the company's reported earnings during the first nine months of 2026. Explore the production, demand and consumption forecasts of bauxite and alumina in our report: "Global Bauxite & Alumina...


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Primary aluminium weekly recap: Citi flags the possibility of Chinese aluminium prices soaring 13% in three months; Yunnan province orders aluminium smelters to cut production again
25 FEB 20234MINS

Primary aluminium weekly recap: Citi flags the possibility of Chinese aluminium prices soaring 13% in three months; Yunnan province orders aluminium smelters to cut production again

This week started with the news of a fresh round of power restrictions implemented in China's Yunnan province. To stabilise the electrical supply, the Yunnan province of China directed the aluminium smelters in the area to adopt another round of output limitations. Since September, several of China's energy-intensive aluminium companies in Yunnan and neighbouring provinces have been operating their smelters at a reduced capacity. On the other hand, in a similar reference, Citi, an American multinational investment bank and financial services company, stated that with the reopening of the Chinese economy, the demand for aluminium is expected to increase and surpass iron-ore. As per the forecast, aluminium prices are expected to increase from 15 per cent to 30 per cent in the coming three...

White House announces new tariffs on Russian metals, including aluminium
24 FEB 20232MINS

White House announces new tariffs on Russian metals, including aluminium

The President of the United States of America, Joe Biden's administration, announced a new round of measures to mark the first anniversary of the Ukraine-Russia geopolitical crisis. The statement said, "The measures will significantly increase costs for aluminium smelted or cast in Russia to enter the US market." A few days ago, AlCircle reported that the US plans to impose a 200 per cent import tariff on Russian aluminium. The rounds of sanctions against Russia that were put in place due to the Russia-Ukraine geopolitical crisis largely spared metals. Russia is one of the leading producers of aluminium ex-China and contributes 6 per cent to global production. However, according to industry experts, this will have a minor impact on the global aluminium market. Russian aluminium, which...

Citi flags the possibility of Chinese aluminium prices soaring 13% in three months, predicting the metal to take the economic lead
24 FEB 20233MINS

Citi flags the possibility of Chinese aluminium prices soaring 13% in three months, predicting the metal to take the economic lead

Citigroup Inc. or Citi, an American multinational investment bank and financial services company, stated that, with the reopening of the Chinese economy, the demand for aluminium is expected to rise, surpassing iron-ore. The broker emphasised the numerous supply issues faced by aluminium, which analysts predict would coincide with a seasonal and reopening-driven revival in demand, leading to a considerable tightening of the physical market in China. Citi forecasted that this would increase aluminium prices to US$2700 ($3964) per tonne for the following three months and suggested that they might reach US$3000 per tonne. These projections indicate an increase of 13 per cent and 25 per cent, respectively, above the current price of US$2388 per tonne. Supply disruptions will worsen in the...

Taiwanese revenue will be reported as coming from ‘Greater China’:  Rio Tinto
24 FEB 20232MINS

Taiwanese revenue will be reported as coming from ‘Greater China’: Rio Tinto

The Anglo-Australian mining and metal company Rio Tinto has formally changed its designation of Taiwan in its regular revenue reports. Taiwanese client revenues will now be reported as coming from "Greater China" rather than the previous designation of "other Asian regions," which excluded China and Japan. An Australian business-focused print media house reported the change. The financial reporting house also published that Rio Tinto receives over 50 per cent of its annual revenue from China. Additionally, the Chinese state-owned mining and metal company, Chinalco, is Rio Tinto’s largest shareholder, with just over 14 per cent ownership. During the 2008 financial crisis, Chinalco strived to acquire a more significant stake in Rio Tinto, but the Australian government occluded the...

Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk guarantees $250 million for developing the aluminium smelter with Adaro
24 FEB 20232MINS

Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk guarantees $250 million for developing the aluminium smelter with Adaro

The Indonesian company engaged in the activity of bauxite mining PT Cita Mineral Investindo Tbk. (CITA) delivered guarantees to associated companies PT Kalimantan Aluminum Industry (KAI) and PT Kaltara Power Indonesia (KPI) worth US$249.5 million (IDR 3.8 trillion). In the information disclosure on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), CITA's management said, "CITA would seek approval from the shareholders at the Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) in connection with the plan for a guarantee transaction from CITA in the form of a corporate guarantee that KAI and KPI will receive. The guaranteed value is estimated at around US$249.5 million (Rp.3.8 trillion) This guarantee is based on CITA's proportionate shareholding in KAI and KPI for the loan facility that KAI and KPI will receive, with a...

China’s A00 aluminium ingot price loses RMB140/t on wavering consumption by downstream: SMM
24 FEB 20232MINS

China’s A00 aluminium ingot price loses RMB140/t on wavering consumption by downstream: SMM

According to the Shanghai Metals Market, China's domestic A00 aluminium ingot price has suffered a loss of RMB 140 per tonne on Friday, February 24, after displaying restraint for the past two consecutive days. SMM data shows the price has come in at RMB 18,480 per tonne, standing W-o-W high by RMB 20 per tonne. The average prices are estimated to range between RMB 18,460 per tonne and RMB 18,500 per tonne today, with a spot contract likely to trade at a discount price of RMB 130-90 per tonne. Muted consumption of the metal, rising inventory, and overseas interest rate hikes together contributed to the poor price trend. Generally speaking, it is currently in the process of transitioning from low to peak season. In Wuxi, Hangzhou, and Shenyang, China’s domestic A00 aluminium ingot price...

Aluminium billet inventories in China record W-o-W fall of 21,300 tonnes to 181,000 tonnes
23 FEB 20231MINS

Aluminium billet inventories in China record W-o-W fall of 21,300 tonnes to 181,000 tonnes

On Thursday, the aluminium billets inventories in China plunged by 21,300 tonnes W-o-W to halt at 181,000 tonnes. This week, the stockpile of aluminium billets accelerated the decline. Each of the four major markets saw a decrease in inventory due to massive cargo outflows from warehouses, with Nanchang being an exception. The demand, however, has constantly been increasing. As a result, the overall inventories are anticipated to continue to decline the following week. The figure below provides further information on the current state of aluminium billet inventories in China: As per the data, the inventories in Wuxi and Foshan slumped by 8,400 tonnes and 6,400 tonnes to stop at 39,400 tonnes and 93,100 tonnes. In Huzhou and Changzhou, the inventories recorded a drop of 6,000 tonnes and...

Primary aluminium inventories in China accumulate 15000 tonnes over a week to 1.248 million tonnes
23 FEB 20232MINS

Primary aluminium inventories in China accumulate 15000 tonnes over a week to 1.248 million tonnes

According to the Shanghai Metals Market survey, social inventories of primary aluminium have grown by 15,000 tonnes over a week ending Thursday, February 23. On a week-on-week basis, the stocks have increased by 32,000 tonnes across eight major consumption areas, including SHFE warrants, to amount to 1.248 million tonnes. Aluminium ingot inventories have grown slowly as the warehouses in Gongyi and south China controlled cargo inflows due to limited storage and equipment maintenance, respectively. However, in the short term, the inventory is expected to stabilise at a higher level. The chart below indicates the current status of primary aluminium inventories across China in more details: Among the major consumption areas, Wuxi has reported the highest accumulation of stocks over a week....

Hindalco’s aluminium prices see the first cut this week after two consecutive hikes; ingot price stands at 1.6% lower
23 FEB 20231MINS

Hindalco’s aluminium prices see the first cut this week after two consecutive hikes; ingot price stands at 1.6% lower

Hindalco Industries Limited has cut its aluminium ingot and aluminium products prices, with effect from February 23, after two consecutive hikes on February 21 and 22, on account of the LME aluminium price drop. The company has reduced its aluminium ingot price by INR 3,750 per tonne or 1.62 per cent to bring it back to INR 227,500 per tonne like on February 21. On February 22, the price stood at INR 231,250 per tonne. Hindalco has also axed its aluminium wire rod and billets prices by INR 3,750 per tonne on February 23 to sell its products at INR 238,600 per tonne and INR 241,600 per tonne, respectively. Hindalco links its aluminium ingot and aluminium products prices to the three-month futures of aluminium on the London Metals Exchange, which slumped by US$45 per tonne on Wednesday,...

LME aluminium price plummets by US$45.5/t to stand below US$2400/t; SHFE grows slightly by US$3/t
23 FEB 20232MINS

LME aluminium price plummets by US$45.5/t to stand below US$2400/t; SHFE grows slightly by US$3/t

Three-month LME aluminium opened at US$2,458.50 per tonne last night and closed at US$2,413 per tonne, down US$46 per tonne or 1.87 per cent. On Wednesday, February 22, the LME aluminium benchmark price registered a significant decline after two consecutive days of hike. While the LME aluminium cash bid price plummeted by US$45 per tonne to US$2,385 per tonne, the LME aluminium official settlement price slumped by US$45.50 per tonne to settle at US$2,385.50 per tonne. The 3-month bid price and 3-month offer price shrank by US$42 per tonne and US$43 per tonne to peg at US$2,428 per tonne and US$2,429 per tonne, respectively. December 24 bid price and December 24 offer price contracted US$35 per tonne to close at US$2,600 per tonne and US$2,605 per tonne. LME aluminium opening stock stood...

EGA’s Al Taweelah facility welcomes His Highness Mohamed Ibrahim Al Hammadi, the CEO of ENEC
22 FEB 20233MINS

EGA’s Al Taweelah facility welcomes His Highness Mohamed Ibrahim Al Hammadi, the CEO of ENEC

Emirates Global Aluminium welcomed His Highness Mohamed Ibrahim Al Hammadi at the Al Taweelah facility in Abu Dhabi. He is the Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of Emirates Nuclear Energy Company (ENEC), Emirates Nuclear Energy Corporation is responsible for deploying and owning nuclear energy plants in the UAE. Chief Executive Officer Abdulnasser Bin Kalban and a group of executives greeted His Excellency and his delegation to EGA. The discussions focused on the two firms' respective contributions to the future of sustainable energy in the UAE. Via a long-term arrangement, ENEC provides power to EWEC, which EWEC then sells to other parties for dispatch. "The Barakah Nuclear Energy Plant provides a significant amount of EWEC's clean electricity and will continue to deliver the...

World’s primary aluminium production reflects a 3.33% rise Y-o-Y during Jan’2023; Output in Asia (ex-China) records a drop
22 FEB 20232MINS

World’s primary aluminium production reflects a 3.33% rise Y-o-Y during Jan’2023; Output in Asia (ex-China) records a drop

The world's primary aluminium production initiated the year 2023 with an annual increase of 3.33 per cent from 5.648 million tonnes to 5.836 million tonnes, found the International Aluminium Institute. But on a month-on-month calculation, the output slightly dropped by 0.58 per cent compared to 5.870 million tonnes. The average daily production stood at 188,300 tonnes in January 2023, also down by 0.58 per cent month-on-month from 189,400 tonnes and up by 3.3 per cent year-on-year from 182,200 tonnes. China in January 2023 produced 3.44 million tonnes (estimated) – 1.15 per cent less than 3.48 million tonnes a month ago but 5.78 per cent more than 3.252 million tonnes a year earlier. In the entire 2022, China's primary aluminium production totalled 40.430 million tonnes. In the GCC...

LME aluminium price hikes by US$38.5/t to US$2,430.50/t; SHFE price moves down by US$19/t
22 FEB 20232MINS

LME aluminium price hikes by US$38.5/t to US$2,430.50/t; SHFE price moves down by US$19/t

LME aluminium opened at US$2,455 per tonne on Tuesday and closed at US$2,459 per tonne, a decrease of US$3 per tonne or 0.12 per cent. On Tuesday, February 22, both LME aluminium cash bid price and LME aluminium official settlement price hiked by US$40 per tonne or 1.67 per cent and US$38.5 per tonne or 1.60 per cent to stand at US$2,430 per tonne and US$2,430.50 per tonne. 3-month bid price and 3-month offer price surged by US$42 per tonne or 1.72 per cent to stand at US$2,470 per tonne and US$2,472 per tonne. December 24 bid price and December 24 offer price expanded by US$37 per tonne or 1.42 per cent to halt at US$2,635 per tonne and US$2,640 per tonne. LME aluminium opening stock halted at 581300 tonnes. Live warrants and Cancelled warrants closed at 451725 tonnes and 129575 tonnes....

Yunnan province orders aluminium smelters to cut production again
21 FEB 20231MINS

Yunnan province orders aluminium smelters to cut production again

China's Yunnan province has ordered the aluminium smelters in the region to implement another round of production restrictions to stabilise the electricity supply. The protracted drought and low reservoir levels have caused problems for the province's hydroelectric grid. However, On February 19, 2023, Alcircle.com reported the possibility of power rationing in the Yunnan region, which might impede the production of the aluminium smelters. The energy-intensive aluminium producers in Yunnan and neighbouring provinces had been already functioning their smelters with reduced capacity, while a few are trailing down China's national output since September. According to our regional sources, some 740,000 tonnes of yearly production capacity would be affected by the most recent cuts, adding to...

AlCircle launches 14th edition of e-Magazine – “Green Initiatives: Road to a sustainable aluminium industry”
21 FEB 20233MINS

AlCircle launches 14th edition of e-Magazine – “Green Initiatives: Road to a sustainable aluminium industry”

Lightweight, strong, durable, and infinitely recyclable, aluminium is the sustainable material of choice. In addition to contributing billions of dollars to the global economy, aluminium supports countless supply chains worldwide. Yet, due to its energy-intensive production and refinement procedures, claimed to contribute significantly to global carbon emissions, aluminium is under heightened scrutiny, much like all other manufactured products. Aluminium producers worldwide are adopting environmentally friendly production methods in response to being placed under the spotlight on climate change. In order to accelerate their decarbonization efforts, they are shifting to renewable energy, investing in green technologies, and even studying carbon capture and storage solutions. However,...

'Green is the new black' in the high-end auto industry; Rio Tinto partners with BMW Group for supply of responsibly sourced aluminium
21 FEB 20233MINS

'Green is the new black' in the high-end auto industry; Rio Tinto partners with BMW Group for supply of responsibly sourced aluminium

The days when premium car purchasers just considered speed, flair, and luxury are long gone. The origin, sustainability, and emissions profile of the materials used to build today's automobiles are topics of growing public concern. "Green is the new black" has become the industry catchphrase for luxury vehicles. Premium car consumers are becoming increasingly pickier about the materials used in their cars, from the leather used for the upholstery to the metals used for the engine parts. This fundamental transition in the automotive market has resulted in a new, innovative partnership between Rio Tinto and the BMW Group , two industry leaders, to develop more responsible, sustainable, traceable, and secure supply chains. Rio Tinto intends to supply responsibly sourced aluminium to the BMW...

LME aluminium benchmark price mounts to US$2392/t after three days of fall; SHFE grows by US$5/t
21 FEB 20232MINS

LME aluminium benchmark price mounts to US$2392/t after three days of fall; SHFE grows by US$5/t

Three-month LME aluminium opened at US$2,395 per tonne on Monday and closed at US$2,462 per tonne, an increase of US$72 per tonne or 3.01 per cent. On Monday, February 20, LME aluminium cash bid price and LME aluminium official settlement price skyrocketed by US$55.50 per tonne and US$57 per tonne, respectively, to stand at US$2,390 per tonne and US$2,392 per tonne. That marked an increase after three consecutive days of fall from US$2,391 per tonne on February 14 to US$2,335 per tonne on February 17. 3-month bid price and 3-month offer price surged by US$56 per tonne or 2.36 per cent to clock at US$2,428 per tonne and US$2,430 per tonne. December 24 bid price and December 24 offer price totalled US$2,598 per tonne and US$2,603 per tonne. LME aluminium opening stock continued to decline...

Iran's aluminium production rises by 17% in the first 10 months of the fiscal year
21 FEB 20232MINS

Iran's aluminium production rises by 17% in the first 10 months of the fiscal year

As the country's metals sector has boomed, Iran has reported significant increases in aluminium production. On February 20, 2023, IMIDRO, Iran’s state metals and mining company, stated aluminium production in four leading smelters in the country had reached over 528,000 tonnes in the first ten months of the financial year to January 20. IMIDRO confirmed that the figure increased by 17% compared to the previous period. In the ten months leading up to January, the South Aluminum Corporation (SALCO), which produced more than 226,000 tonnes of ingots, produced more than 43% of all the aluminium produced in Iran. Just four years after it was established in the southern province of Fars, SALCO has surpassed all other aluminium smelters in Iran regarding output size. The findings come as Iran...

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