July aluminium price forecast: Watch out for pound depreciation

Wrote Donald Levit of Economic Calendar: “While there is not expected to be a huge shift in aluminium demand as the U.K. slowly decouples itself from the European Union, a general air of uncertainty is pressuring the sentiment around aluminium demand and prices are responding by dropping slightly.”
Levit added that Brexit is not expected to have a sudden impact on demand for aluminium but prices for the metal could fluctuate as the result of currency valuations. Forecasts currently call for a depreciation of the pound, but other factors stemming from Brexit — including slow economic growth and lagging U.K. vehicle sales — could team up to put further pressure on aluminium prices.
Meanwhile, in China …
MetalMiner reported that Chinese aluminium output has recovered, following a price rebound with a run up in Shanghai aluminium prices spurring an increase in Chinese aluminium production and exports in recent months.
We encourage North American manufacturers, especially those that source internationally, to keep a close eye on the Brexit fallout as it is sure to have a major impact on metal prices, including aluminium in the months to come.
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