Calculate Embedded Emissions for Unwrought Aluminium (HS7601)
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Notes:
There may be a difference when calculating the price with respect to
import volume, carbon price, and benchmark emissions, as the embedded
formula may result in minor variations due to decimal rounding.
Therefore, the actual value may vary.
CBAM is applicable to trade volumes starting from 50 metric tonnes. For trade volumes below 50 metric tonnes, CBAM does not apply.
Usage Procedure – How to use the CBAM Calculator Sheet
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INPUT PARAMETERS section (Highlighted in blue) ,
including the carbon price, benchmark emissions, CBAM chargeable
percentage (as per the phase-in year), and imported quantity.
The system will automatically calculate the
payable emissions and the total CBAM cost (€)
based on the inputs provided.
Notes:
• Change any input value to automatically update CBAM cost.
• Formula used: Carbon price × payable emissions × quantity.
• Model aligned with CBAM supplier-side illustrative methodology.
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The World of Aluminium Extrusions to 2035 - Demand Forecast | Price Benchmarking | Plant Economics | Strategic Growth Sectors
The global aluminium extrusion industry is entering a new phase of growth, driven by lightweight transportation, renewable energy, digital infrastructure, industrial automation and the transition towards low-carbon materials. As demand shifts across regions and end-use sectors, identifying where consumption will grow, which applications will drive demand and how capacity is evolving is becoming increasingly important for extrusion producers, billet suppliers, OEMs, investors and procurement teams.
What will drive global aluminium extrusion demand through 2035?
Global aluminium extrusion usage is projected to increase from 35.25 million tonnes in 2025 to 44.22 million tonnes by 2035, representing a 2.29% CAGR and approximately 8.97 million tonnes of incremental demand.
Growth will increasingly be shaped by electrification, renewable energy, sustainable construction, digital infrastructure and industrial manufacturing. Aluminium's strength-to-weight ratio, corrosion resistance, design flexibility and recyclability are supporting its adoption across applications where lightweighting, energy efficiency and lifecycle performance are becoming increasingly important.
Key demand drivers include:
Electric vehicles and transportation lightweighting
Solar PV mounting and renewable energy infrastructure
Green buildings and energy-efficient construction
Data centres and AI infrastructure
Industrial automation and robotics
Electrical and electronics applications
Aerospace, defence and emerging mobility
Low-carbon and recycled aluminium adoption
Source: AL Circle Research
Global extrusion capacity exceeds demand
Global aluminium extrusion capacity stood at approximately 49.9 million tonnes in 2025, compared with estimated demand of 35.25 million tonnes, creating a capacity surplus of around 14.65 million tonnes.
China accounts for approximately 66% of global extrusion capacity, reinforcing its position as the dominant supply base. At the same time, producers are investing in larger extrusion presses, cleaner billets and post-consumer scrap utilisation as the market moves towards higher-value applications and lower-carbon production.
Source: AL Circle Research
Where will aluminium extrusion demand grow the fastest?
China will remain the largest aluminium extrusion market, but growth is increasingly shifting towards emerging regions, particularly the Rest of Asia-Pacific (ROAP).
ROAP is projected to record the fastest regional growth through 2035, supported by China+1 manufacturing strategies, infrastructure expansion in India and Southeast Asia, and the localisation of EV and solar manufacturing.
Meanwhile, Europe is moving towards high-value, low-carbon extrusions, North America is positioned for a long-term rebound, and the Middle East, Africa and South America are benefiting from infrastructure and urbanisation-led demand.
Source: AL Circle Research
Data centres emerge as a new growth engine
The rapid expansion of AI, cloud computing and hyperscale data centres is opening a high-value growth opportunity for aluminium extruders.
Rising computing densities are increasing demand for lightweight, thermally efficient and precision-engineered aluminium profiles across:
Server racks and structural frames
Heat sinks and cold plates
Liquid-cooling channels
Aluminium busbars and power distribution
Aisle-containment structures
Solar PV framing and tracking systems
Grid and substation infrastructure
The opportunity extends beyond data centre facilities. The renewable energy and grid infrastructure required to power these facilities is creating additional demand for extruded aluminium, positioning data centres as a broader growth catalyst across the value chain.
Which end-use sectors will drive the next phase of growth?
Building & Construction will remain the largest consumer of aluminium extrusions through 2035. However, faster growth in transportation, electrical & electronics and industrial applications is expected to gradually reshape the demand mix.
Transportation demand is being supported by EV adoption and lightweighting, while electrical and electronics applications are gaining momentum from thermal management, power distribution and digital infrastructure. Industrial demand is being supported by automation, robotics, machinery and modular manufacturing.
Source: AL Circle Research
What strategic opportunities does the market present?
The changing demand landscape is creating opportunities across the aluminium extrusion value chain.
For extrusion producers: Capacity expansion near high-growth markets such as India, Vietnam and Mexico, alongside automated high-speed press lines, can support demand for precision EV and solar profiles.
For billet producers and raw material suppliers: Low-carbon primary aluminium and recycled billet are becoming increasingly important as customers seek to meet tightening sustainability requirements.
For recyclers and traders: Closed-loop recycling capabilities can help capture the growing demand for recycled and low-carbon extrusion feedstock.
For OEMs and industrial buyers: Long-term sourcing strategies and regional supply partnerships can help manage supply tightness, geopolitical risks and changing trade dynamics.
Why should you refer to this report now?
The global aluminium extrusion market is growing, but the next phase of growth will not be evenly distributed. New demand centres are emerging, established markets are changing and capacity continues to exceed current consumption.
This report helps industry stakeholders assess where the market is heading and where the strongest opportunities are emerging.
Identify high-growth regions: Assess regional demand trends and the growth potential of emerging markets, particularly across Asia-Pacific.
Track changing demand patterns: Understand how transportation, electrical & electronics and industrial applications are gaining ground alongside traditional construction demand.
Assess emerging applications: Evaluate new demand opportunities from EVs, renewable energy, data centres, AI infrastructure and industrial automation.
Understand capacity dynamics: Assess global extrusion capacity against demand and the implications for producers and suppliers.
Prepare for low-carbon demand: Track the growing importance of recycled feedstock, cleaner billets and low-carbon aluminium.
Evaluate strategic opportunities: Identify the markets, applications and industry shifts that could shape extrusion demand through 2035.
Where are the strategic opportunities emerging?
The changing market structure is creating opportunities across the aluminium extrusion value chain.
Extrusion producers: Align capacity and technology with high-growth applications such as EV, solar and precision industrial profiles.
Billet producers and raw material suppliers: Prepare for increasing demand for low-carbon primary aluminium and recycled feedstock.
Recyclers and traders: Strengthen closed-loop recycling capabilities as demand for recycled extrusion feedstock grows.
OEMs and industrial buyers: Evaluate regional sourcing strategies and long-term supply partnerships amid changing trade flows and supply dynamics.
Who should refer to this report?
This report is relevant for decision-makers across the aluminium extrusion value chain, including:
Aluminium extrusion manufacturers and billet producers
Primary aluminium producers and recyclers
Automotive OEMs and component suppliers
Construction and infrastructure companies
Renewable energy developers
Electrical and electronics manufacturers
Procurement and sourcing professionals
Traders and distributors
Investors and financial institutions
Government agencies and policymakers
How this strategic industry assessment was developed
Research Approach
Secondary Research
Information was collected from company annual reports, investor presentations, government publications, trade databases, technical papers, industry associations and market intelligence sources.
Expert Consultations
Inputs were gathered from aluminium extrusion manufacturers, billet producers, equipment suppliers, downstream users and industry experts to validate market trends, production insights and forecasts.
Internal Research Database
AL Circle’s aluminium industry intelligence platform and historical datasets were used to support market analysis and benchmarking.
Data Collection
Data was collected through:
Company-level production capacity and business analysis
Aluminium billet production and usage data
Regional aluminium extrusion demand and supply trends
Import-export and trade flow analysis
Industry reports, technical publications and equipment supplier information
End-use sector demand data covering transportation, construction, electrical, industrial and renewable applications
Data Validation
To ensure accuracy and reliability:
Market data, production figures and trade statistics were cross-checked using multiple sources.
Industry insights were validated through expert discussions and company-level information.
Historical trends were reviewed to identify market patterns and support forecasting.
Data Analysis
The collected data was analysed to evaluate:
Historical production and consumption trends
Regional market growth opportunities
Demand forecasts up to 2032
Technology adoption and process efficiency
End-use sector growth drivers
Cost competitiveness and material substitution trends
Competitive positioning of major aluminium extrusion companies
The final report consolidates market intelligence to provide insights into investment opportunities, technology developments, supply chain dynamics and the future outlook of the global aluminium extrusion industry.
Scope and Coverage
The report covers:
Global aluminium extrusion market overview
Aluminium billet usage and supply analysis
Extrusion process, technologies and alloy grades
Regional market analysis across North America, South America, Europe, China, Asia-Pacific, Middle East & Africa
Aluminium extrusion demand by end-use sectors
Trade dynamics and tariff impact analysis
Cost structure and price analysis
Competitive landscape of leading extrusion companies
Future growth opportunities and industry trends
TOC
Sector: Executive summary
01World aluminium extrusions capacity and demand, 2024
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02World aluminium extrusions usage & forecast across regions, 2024-2025 to 2032
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03World aluminium extrusion usage by end use sectors, 2024-2025 to 2032
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04Key highlights of the global aluminium extrusion sector
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05Recent development in the global aluminium extrusion sector
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06Impact analysis of tariff on aluminium extrusions
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07Material substitution trends: Aluminium extrusions vs Competing materials
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08Aluminium extrusion cost per kg in 2025: Price overview and cost breakdown
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Sector: Introduction
09Report Coverage
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10Approach to the study
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11Application of aluminium
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Sector: World aluminium usage - An overview
12Primary aluminium production (incl. price forecast 2025-26, production capacity 2025, recent inventory status)
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13Primary aluminium production across regions, 2020-24
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14Primary aluminium production, China Vs Rest of the World, 2014-24
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15World primary aluminium: Monthly production trend, 2020-2024
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16World aluminium consumption, 2024
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17World aluminium usage across regions, 2024
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18World aluminium usage by segments, 2024
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19World aluminium usage by end-use sectors, 2024
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20World recycled aluminium usage, 2024
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21World recycled aluminium usage across regions, 2024
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23Secondary aluminium capacity expansion by billet
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Sector: World aluminium billet usage
24World aluminium billet usage, 2024
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25Ingot vs Billet: Understanding the differences and applications
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26Addressing common challenges in aluminium profile production: Causes and effective solutions.
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27Selected company wise aluminium billets business analysis
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Sector: Aluminium extrusion technology and application
28Extrusion process
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29Types of aluminium extrusion
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30Extrusion alloys
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31Applications of aluminium extrusion
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32Emerging applications of aluminium extrusion
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33Industry trends & development
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Sector: World aluminium extrusion usage and forecast across regions
34Overview
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35North America: Aluminium extrusions
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36South America: Aluminium extrusions
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37Europe: Aluminium extrusions
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38China: Aluminium extrusions
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39Rest of Asia Pacific: Aluminium extrusions
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40Middle East & Africa: Aluminium extrusions
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41Selected company wise aluminium extrusion business analysis
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Sector: Aluminium extrusions usage and forecast by end use sectors
42Overview
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43Transportation sector
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44Building & construction sector
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45Electrical & electronics sector
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46Industrial sector
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47Consumer durables
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48Defence & other applications
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49Renewable Sectors
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Sector: Aluminium extrusions - Trade dynamics
50Overview
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51Regional trade analysis
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Sector: Conclusion
Frequently asked questions
The report provides a long-term outlook for the global aluminium extrusion industry from 2025 to 2035, supported by historical market analysis.
Global aluminium extrusion usage is projected to reach approximately 44.22 million tonnes by 2035, compared with 35.25 million tonnes in 2025.
Global aluminium extrusion demand is projected to grow at a 2.29% CAGR between 2025 and 2035.
The Rest of Asia-Pacific is projected to record the highest regional growth rate, with a CAGR of approximately 4.32% between 2025 and 2035.
Building & Construction will remain the largest end-use sector, although its share of total extrusion demand is expected to decline as transportation, electrical & electronics and industrial applications expand faster.
Yes. The report examines data centres as an emerging growth engine for aluminium extrusions, including applications in thermal management, server racks, structural frames, busbars, power distribution and supporting renewable energy infrastructure.
Yes. The report analyses major global and regional extrusion companies and highlights the fragmented structure of the global aluminium extrusion industry.
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